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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 2-4-2020
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Brad Johnson
4:16
We should quickly learn more in the coming weeks.
Adam
4:17
I won my league last year (12-tm H2H 5x5) and as such get to choose my draft position.  I can keep Yelich at the cost of my 1st-round pick, and decide to pick 12th, or I can free up that other keeper and pick #1 overall... but that pick will almost certainly be Yelich.  It's a 6-keeper league, keep no more than 3 years.  Is that marginal 6th-best keeper (probably something like Laureano in the 14th or Will Smith (C) in the 21st) worth dropping from the #13 pick to #24/25?
Brad Johnson
4:18
I'm not 100% sure I understand. So the option is Yelich + Laureano/Smith and pick 24/25 or Yelich, pick 13, and 36/37...
Adam
4:18
yes, exactly
Brad Johnson
4:19
I feel like this should be obvious to me, but something isn't clicking
Lemme investigate ADPs and put some names on it.
4:20
And I get these aren't going to be the actually available names, I just want to see what the difference between 24/25 and 13,36,37 looks like.
4:21
So that's roughly Flaherty/Harper/Laureano or Arenado/Altuve/Snell for those who are curious (again, not the actual scenario as probably all of those guys will be kept)
4:23
I think this is where I stand. I'm likely not keeping Smith (ADP in the 140s). Laureano is late-70s which is a more plausible keep. So, since you have a foundational yelich, do you need a guy like Laureano or do you want to reselect from similar value players?
Hope that helps.
dtbnl - you are on the clock
4:23
Don't time out this time :)
Brad Johnson
4:23
Excuse me folks, I'll brb
4:24
Steele Walker with the 16th pick of the 35th round of a 25-team dynasty
Let's carry on
trubull
4:25
pick 1 to keep:  A $1 Lux or a  $10 robles muncy/ semien/ glasnow (espn $260 budget)
Brad Johnson
4:25
Depends a little on future considerations. Can you keep keeping them at $10? I want long term shares of Robles, but not if he's inflating too fast.
Muncy, Semien, and Glasnow are all great PV plays.
4:26
And if you're going to get a decade of Lux, that might be hard to pass
4:27
But I'm guessing these increase about $5/yr and you'll be incentivized to prioritize PV
Tony
4:27
How do you view devers this year? Can he be a top fantasy asset? Top 3b?
Brad Johnson
4:27
Seems like aggressive expectations
4:28
The smart math is he'll regress.
I don't think we should count on skills growth
and the supporting cast might be weaker without Betts (plus Bogaerts going insane).
assuming they even get around to dealing Betts
4:29
fwiw, I'm mostly on board with his player page projections, except maybe 26-28 HR instead
tacopocket
4:29
hey brad.  5X5 12 man roto league with $300 at auction.   am i right in thinking a $10 meadows is better than a $32 rendon or a $19 villar?
Brad Johnson
4:30
A $10 Meadows is extremely attractive. You're probably pretty close to auction prices on those other two.
Say $45 and $25 respectively?
Meadows about $24ish?
4:31
If those guestimates are right, you can re-buy the pricier ones cheaper than Meadows.
SparkyMcGuffey
4:31
Who is the One Dude you want late that everyone is overlooking?
Brad Johnson
4:31
Oh don't make me...
fine
4:32
Obviously it varies by league depth. I'm still an Anibal believer.
4:33
I've seen Nick Solak late in 12-teamers
Looking deeper, I still want Josh Rojas fliers
I want Tyler Mahle, Nick Pivetta, and Vince Velasquez as end-game SP dart throws.
4:34
Joe Ross is ADP 600 and at least as talented as ADP 300 pitchers
Mudrock
4:34
Holds are still unbelvably hard to come by! What are a few strategies to Grabbing holds during the season
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