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Cardinals vs. Nationals NLCS Game 1 Chat
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Ben Clemens
8:44
So uh.... guard those signs!
Ben Kaspick
8:45
The Astros made it super obvious they were all over Tyler Glasnow tipping pitches last night. I wonder if that could lead to teams being even more careful than they otherwise would have been. Seems like they should have been less demonstrative about it.
Or, teams are already experiencing peak paranoia and it doesn't matter.
Ben Clemens
8:45
Yeah LOL at Bregman making sure the camera saw him explaining the tipping to Correa.
He's quite the showman.
8:46
Like, it's not as though Correa didn't get the same scouting report as Bregman.
Lunar verLander
8:46
...wait, a machine learning app...to pick up a handful of signs...don't most machine learning algorithms require millions of input tests to 'learn' before they're useful?
Ben Clemens
8:47
So Eric has gone into it on a few FanGraphs audio podcasts, and I don't have the links offhand, but not really? Basically you film a lot of the signs beforehand to give it a learning database.
Off of the broadcast of their former games or whatever, it's not as though they have infinite patterns.
And then it is very fast at figuring out which set is currently being used.
8:48
I'm about as far from an expert in machine learning as you can get, so take this with a grain of salt.
Ben Kaspick
8:48
A guy on YouTube made a baseball sign stealing app. Fascinating watch.
Derek
8:48
Yeah Bregman seems determined to become baseball's heel.
Ben Clemens
8:48
And what a delight it is.
8:49
I wrote an article called "Alex Bregman Still Has Another Gear," kind of generic 'this dude is really good.'
And he liked it on Twitter!
Like, his self-confidence is theatrical and amazing.
Dystopian Future
8:49
Too bad that Bregman is already the good guy in the minds of most of baseball fans because he's up against Trevor Bauer.
Ben Clemens
8:49
C'mon, we all love to root for heels.
Fire Ken Tremendous
8:50
Did he contact you to discuss the article like Schilling did to Posnanski?
Ben Clemens
8:50
Man I wish. Any baseball player I write about, or who's reading this chat, hit me up.
Mantis Toboggan
8:51
I am a baseball player reading this chat, although not a professional one.
Ben Clemens
8:51
Count it!
5 Run Homer
8:51
Maybe re-juice that ball, MLB
Ben Clemens
8:51
This is karmic punishment for him smiling earlier.
8:52
In fairness, he hit that to the deepest part of the park.
Ben Kaspick
8:52
Rendon hit that ball 101.4 mph at 29 degrees...
Matt
8:53
Sup Ben?
Ben Clemens
8:53
So many Bens tonight.
8:54
If you're curious, 75.6% of batted balls hit at that velo and angle became home runs this regular season.
Ben
8:54
Quick, everyone in the chat: change your name to "Ben" for 5 minutes. It'll be a blast!
5 Run Homer
8:54
Someone tell Edman to shave that mustache
Ben Clemens
8:54
If you think that one is bad, wait until you see Dakota Hudson.
Wire Fan
8:55
In cold weather,  and with what wind conditions,  and what spin on the ball.   I'd love someone to publish the error bars on the HR models that predict HR probability on LA, exit velocity,  and park size.
Ben Clemens
8:55
Yeah so, these all need to be controlled for, and wind gusts can't be accounted for even in these models. That variability is why I was slow to accept that the ball has changed just based on results. But now that Arthur's article has calculated a measurable and likely change in drag, the presumption goes the other wya.
Ben
8:56
Heyyyyy
Ben also
8:56
Hooooo
Fire Ben Tremendous
8:56
I'm here for the 5 minute blast
Ben Clemens
8:56
Now that's thinking on your feet.
Matt
8:57
Do they get to call up a different player to replace the paternity list?
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