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Chat with MLBTR's Steve Adams: 11/23/21
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Steve Adams
2:36
Graveman started dominating the moment the Mariners put him in the bullpen in Sept. 2020. He has a 2.05 ERA and 3.17 FIP with a 25.5 K%, 8.9 BB% and 55.9 GB% in his past 66 innings. Teams don't really care so much about what you've done anymore -- they care more about whether they're comfortable projecting you to continue at a certain level of performance.
I thought Graveman would get 27-30, so if it's 24-25, I think it's a pretty decent price.
Kiyo
2:36
If both Desclafani and Matz get 3/36, who is the better value signing in your opinion?
Steve Adams
2:37
I'd prefer DeSclafani, personally, but I know I'd have dissenting opinions even among the MLBTR team. Anthony Franco is much bigger on Matz than me, for instance.
Same contract terms -- 3 years, 36MM -- who do you prefer?
Anthony DeSclafani (59.1% | 470 votes)
 
Steven Matz (40.9% | 325 votes)
 
Total Votes: 795
RadHippo
2:38
Scherzer 3-120mil.
Ray 4-100mil. Which is more likely?
Steve Adams
2:38
Ray should be able to top 4/100 easily.
3/120 is the upper level of what I feel is plausible for Scherzer
Reginald Walters
2:38
Would signing Matz lessen the chances of the Tigers signing Correa?
Steve Adams
2:39
Their payroll is wiiiide open. Tacking on something like $10-13MM annually for Matz isn't going to hinder their other efforts.
Luhnow
2:39
Do I get another shot at the MLB?
Steve Adams
2:39
Hinch and Cora did. I would think at some point some owner will be open to it.
Graveman is good, but
2:40
it seems like a strange allocation of likely limited funds
Steve Adams
2:40
They'll trade Kimbrel at some point.
Falvine
2:41
Mid level SPs are dropping like flies. Is Michael Pineda realistically our top FA SP acquisition?
Steve Adams
2:41
Even if the Twins don't want to spend heavily on a multi-year deal for a free agent SP, the trade market will offer plenty of names. John Means, Sonny Gray, Sean Manaea, Chris Bassitt, several Marlins options ... lots of ways to fill out a rotation.
2:42
That said, no, I don't think Pineda is the top SP Minnesota will consider.
CY
2:42
How serious do you think Kershaw is about a possible return home? If the Rangers sign him, does that help sway other FAs who are reluctant to sign on for a rebuild?
Steve Adams
2:42
Might help a little -- "Hey! Kershaw! These guys mean business!" -- but Texas is still going to have to overpay in terms of years and/or dollars to get the guys they want.
TX Rangers
2:43
Any chance we get Correa???
Steve Adams
2:43
Sure. Tons of money to spend -- motivated to spend it. Wide-open infield mix.
Del Griffith
2:44
If there's a lockout, is the rule 5 draft postponrd?
Steve Adams
2:44
My understanding is it'd happen later in the offseason
Brent
2:45
do you see Baltimore handing out any major league deals for free agents?  A catcher or SP do bridge the gap?
Steve Adams
2:46
I think they should, but I've thought that regularly throughout the rebuild and they've chosen not to. Catcher seems less likely, but maybe they throw $2-3M at a pitcher late in free agency.
Voit in Limbo
2:46
What is the plan in 2022 for Luke Voit on the Yankees roster, or is there one? Am I the only one thinking that Luke Voit would be a great fit in Colorado? 55+ HRs?
Steve Adams
2:47
I think you're wildly overstating the effect Coors Field would have on his home run totals, but if the NL adds a DH, Voit/Rox makes some sense. It's pretty clear the Yankees are open to/hoping for an upgrade.
Robzilla
2:48
Should the phillies be in on Chapman?
Steve Adams
2:49
I'm not sure if this means Matt or Aroldis. I assume the former, and if that's the case, then emphatically, yes. The Phillies should be far less focused on getting a capital-C "Closer" and far more focused on improving the defense, particularly in the infield.
(Subsequently ... improving the glovework would help the bullpen)
Krall
2:50
Sonny Gray to LA for Gavin Lux?  Would this be the start of a deal?
Steve Adams
2:50
Lux feels like too much for Gray
Ben Cherington
2:51
Could I sign Seiya Suzuki or is someone like Clint Frazier more realistic
Steve Adams
2:52
I don't think the Pirates are going to spend at the Suzuki level, even though the fit is a good one and they payroll could obviously accommodate it. Frazier feels more plausible, but there are obvious unknowns regarding his health, given how his 2021 ended.
Barron Tudor
2:52
How much posting fee do you think is going to be for Seiya Suzuki?
Steve Adams
2:52
It's dependent on the size of the contract. 20% of the first 25MM, plus 17.5% of the next 25 and 15% of anything thereafter.
Guards Fan
2:53
Thoughts on the fangraphs article saying the Guardians still probably will not spend this offseason??
Steve Adams
2:54
I haven't read the piece you're referencing just yet, but I never expected them to go big in terms of spending anyhow. Sign a decent outfielder, maybe, but I've never felt something like 3-4 notable free agents were likely.
Kirt
2:54
Does the Franco deal mean that Taylor Walls is gone?
Steve Adams
2:54
Franco was going to displace Walls with or without the extension. I do think Walls is a great target for any team looking for shortstop help -- but that was true before Franco signed.
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