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Craig Edwards FanGraphs Chat--5/16/2019
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Craig Edwards
2:02
Going to try and finish my lunch and let the queue fill up a bit more. Will start soon.
2:03
In the meantime, he's a thing I wrote about Chris Sale. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/chris-sale-is-sort-of-back/
Here's one on George Springer. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-astros-other-best-player/
Overbearing Padre
2:06
Tatis is past ten days on the IL. They're not activating him so, why don't they just let him ride pine in AAA to reclaim service time while he heals?
Craig Edwards
2:07
He's injured and you can't just option injured players to the minors. If he was healthy, they could then keep him in the minors, but if he's healthy, they probably want him in the majors.
Rox Fan
2:07
Is Brendan Rodgers likely to stick for the rest of the season, and almost certainly qualify for Super-2 status in the process?
Craig Edwards
2:09
There's really no telling with Rockies given the way they've handled McMahon and Dahl, but Rodgers is a better prospect which makes him more likely to play well enough to stick. While we won't know the super-2 deadline for this year's crop of rookies until the end of the 2021 season when there might be a new CBA which makes super-2 status moot or different, under the current rules, Rodgers would likely be a super-2 if he stays up.
jkim
2:09
Who are the hottest Bullpen trade targets of this deadline?
Will Smith?
Craig Edwards
2:12
Certainly he'll be one. It's a bit too early to say for everyone else since we don't know for sure who will be contending and some relievers who are performing well now won't be by the trade deadline. Ken Giles seems like an interesting name. Shane Greene, too.
Josh Bell
2:12
Is my break out for real?
Craig Edwards
2:14
I think the power is real at least from the left side. He's actually hitting the ball in the air, which helps. He's still probably not going to be more than a four-win player, but that's pretty good given his last few seasons.
AJ Preller's Godson
2:15
Very early NLROY contenders?  How's my boy's Paddack's chances after his worst game tuesday?
Craig Edwards
2:16
I'm not sure about contenders at this point, but Alonso and Paddack are up there right now. Verdugo's newfound playing time could help. Tatis, if he can get back, Robles if he can get going. There's still a ton of time. Juan Soto didn't start his first game last year until May 21.
Dan
2:17
What is up with Ozuna's average? His babip is low but are there other issues with him?
Craig Edwards
2:19
Ozuna has always been a pretty streaky guy. While his average and BABIP are pretty low, Having a bunch of hits go out of the park hurts his BABIP but helps him overall. With his new 10% walk rate, his OBP is nearly what it was last season. Statcast says he's been pretty unlucky so I wouldn't worry too much about it.
TomBruno23
2:19
For the first time in 35 years (since I started watching/following) I have very little interest in the St. Louis Cardinals so far this season. Am I OK?
Craig Edwards
2:20
Is it possible this is due to the Blues having their most realistic shot at a Stanley Cup ever? Give it some time and watch a few more games. The Cardinals are a good team with good players and that's more than many can say. They also seem to enjoy playing, which is something I definitely appreciate as a fan. I think you'll be fine.
Crawfishboxes
2:20
What is your over/under that Aledmys Diaz outperforms his current .256/.299/.513 line (112 wRC+) if he gets consistent play time?
Craig Edwards
2:22
I don't think he's going to keep his ISO above .250. I'd take the under with an expectation of a wRC+ right around 100.
tom
2:22
the blues got hosed
Craig Edwards
2:22
it certainly seemed that way, yes.
Bulldog
2:22
Do you play fantasy baseball?  If so, are you any good??
Craig Edwards
2:22
Yes. No.
Xolo
2:24
It seems like no matter who's on the team, the Padres are always at the bottom of the league in K% (top of the league? the bad one) and Contact%. Machado and Hosmer even saw spikes when they came over. Is it possible that this is a Petco thing, or what?
Craig Edwards
2:25
I think most of it is the players they've had. Hosmer wasn't too far above his career average prior to his career year in 2017 while Machado ahs under 200 plate appearances. Maybe Petco doesn't have the best batter's eye or maybe players subconsciously feel the need to swing harder to get through the atmosphere in San Diego. I don't think I'd read too much into it.
Ryan
2:26
Is it time for the Cubs to stop giving Edwards Jr. opportunities in high leverage scenarios?
Craig Edwards
2:28
I could see some logic in that, though he does need to keep getting regular work in the majors as he is potentially a lot more valuable than most of their other options. Some guys have stepped up of late to earn more late-inning time and having Edwards work things out in less pressurized situations is fine for a time. He just can't sit, though.
Judge, Drury, and Mexicutioner
2:29
Sup Craig!  Do you think the Marlins will promote Zac Gallen any time soon?
Craig Edwards
2:30
It's possible as he's pitching well in Triple-A, but he's also not on the 40-man roster so unless the Marlins drop or trade someone, they can probably wait a while and see if Triple-A hitters adjust to him.
Bert
2:31
Jorge Polanco sure can hit a baseball. Is he going to add to the list of SS this year that can realistically finish with a 120 wRC+
Craig Edwards
2:32
He's basically already there. If he hits his projection of 111 the rest of the way, he's going to end up over 125.
Enrico Pallazzo
2:32
Does Vogelbach cool off? Or now that he has both confidence and playing time, he's a legit big league slugger?
Craig Edwards
2:34
Both can be true? He's projected for a 125 wRC+ the rest of the way which is legit slugger level and a considerable cooling off. It's always good to see guys get a real chance after they've had success in the minors and the Mariners are now giving him that chance.
Nathan
2:35
Gallen has a .152 BABiP and a high LOB%. Why are people so excited about him?
Craig Edwards
2:36
His FIP is under 3 and he's got 64 strikeouts against 9 walks so those are pretty good results, though I honestly didn't realize there was a bunch of Gallen hype going around.
Cavan Biggio
2:37
Will I get the call before July?
Craig Edwards
2:37
I'll say no, but I'm not the one making those decisions.
Finch, Syd
2:37
So, Avisail Garcia has been productive.  Color me surprised.  True or False: the Rays knew this would work out.
Craig Edwards
2:39
False. It's not like he's the only guy they brought in, though it's not like he didn't do basically this exact same thing for the entire 2017 season.
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