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Craig Edwards FanGraphs Chat--9/17/2020
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Craig Edwards
2:43
The expanded playoffs still needs to be negotiated with the players and it is a pretty big ask financially. I don't think it is a done deal or anything. The DH isn't even close as a giveback. I think it is possible the extra inning rule stays, but I doubt the doubleheader rule stays just because teams in the future prefer the day/night doubleheaders to get the gate for both games. It's not something that works as well with fans.
Joshua
2:44
What type of return could you see the Nats having if they decided to deal a package centering aroudn Kieboom and Crowe? I could see the Nats doing another similar Giolito/Dunning/Lopez for Eaton type deal.......meaning some highly rated prospects for an in his prime player with a team friendly contract. Thoughts? And any players do you see that would fit the bill for this type of trade? Thanks.
Craig Edwards
2:45
I think they are more likely to go the free agent route, amybe give Kieboom another shot rather than dealing low on him.
A cat
2:45
Will expansion be the next step after a 16 team playoff scenario is incorporated in the next CBA?
Craig Edwards
2:46
Before the pandemic, a 14-team playoff idea was the one being pushed. I'm not sure if they go back to that or try for 16 teams, but expansion absolutely needs to happen.
Scott
2:46
Universal DH: more jobs for bat-first vets or more never ending roster shuffling?
Craig Edwards
2:48
There are so few bat-only guys worth giving decent money to, that going from 15 to 30 teams with the DH doesn't really add all that much for the players. Owners probably want it anyway so they don't have to worry about pitchers getting hurt. And while some fans don't like the DH, fans generally favor more offense. It's something that makes sense for the game that isn't a big chip in CBA negotiations.
bighen
2:49
Does Amed Rosario still have decent trade value?  Could the Mets package or flat out 1:1 trade him for a legit two way CF?  Is that a worse plan than trying to convert him to CF?   Nimmo is a decent player but he can't really cut it in CF and Gimenez at SS, and a true CF would make the Mets so much better up the middle on D.   And that's w/o improving the C position.
Craig Edwards
2:51
I don't think for what you are hoping for. He still might be a solid starting shortstop, but a team isn't going to trade a sure starting center fielder for a maybe starting shortstop. Would the Marlins trade Marte for Rosario? I doubt it.
Larry Jones
2:51
It feels like the Cubs and Braves are being overlooked in the NL. Given that they are slated to match up in the NLDS, which team would you give the edge, and who do you think would be more likely to beat LA/SD
Craig Edwards
2:52
I don't know about being overlooked, but the Braves' chances are dependent on getting their rotation in order while the Cubs just need to hit consistently. It's a pretty even matchup if they both make it out of the first round, but I'd probably favor the Braves slightly.
Joshua
2:53
Hunter Dozier for Wil Crowe, Mason Denaburg, and James Bourque.......who says no?
Craig Edwards
2:54
maybe neither side? Depends on what the Royals think of those prospects.
Bradley
2:54
Hi, Craig. Hope you are well today. I was wondering if you could tell me about Padres prospect Yeison Santana? I somewhat recently learned of him and he is currently ranked eight by Fangraphs on Padres top prospects list. However, I know nothing about him.
Craig Edwards
2:55
I can't help you, though Eric Longenhagen should be chatting tomorrow and might be able to add more info.
kevinthecomic
2:55
"expansion absolutely needs to happen" -- why is that?  too many talented players, not enough teams?  grow the game/expand appeal?  cash grab for the owners via franchise fees?  net US migration south validating the need for more teams in that part of the country?  something else?
Craig Edwards
2:56
I think you covered it. Talent has gone way up but the number of starting jobs has remained the same. It's made the game a little worse with more strikeouts, less contact, more relievers. Exanding to new markets creates new fans. And yes, the owners might feel the need for some extra money right now.
Phat Stax
2:57
What’s the future outlook for Dane Dunning look like? FG has a 45 FV on him, but have you seen anything from him
Craig Edwards
2:59
He's essentially repeated his Double-A numbers, which is a good sign. The .200osh BABIP isn't going to keep up. I'd like to see more use of his change to see where he's going to be long term. Right now, it's basically fourseam, twoseam, slider, and that probably isn't enough over the course of a season.
TKDC
3:00
If the Cardinals end up 28-30 and miss the playoffs to a team they would have the tie breaker over that finishes 29-31, with the Cardinals not getting 2 games against Detroit where they’d only need to win one, how would that make you feel?
Craig Edwards
3:00
Wouldn't they just play those games and figure that out. Was there an announcement I missed?
Mountie Votto
3:01
You buying Shogo Akiyama’s adjustments? Guy is getting on base at a Vottonian clip the last few weeks
Craig Edwards
3:03
He's got to start hitting for some power at some point. Something has to give. He's not going to keep walking 20% of the time and put up a .400 BABIP. He's probably better than his 83 wRC+ for the season, but I'd guess he's closer to average than well above that.
Sonny
3:04
What metrics would you look at to separate real (good or bad) performance from '20 weirdness? Yaz, JDM, Yelich, Ozuna, etc
Craig Edwards
3:06
That's really difficult in such a small sample. Age is going to be a factor with JDM. With Yelich, he's still getting buried for his first couple weeks. I would look for stretches where they looked like their old selves. As for Ozuna, he's done this before and had stretches where he was really good with St. Louis. WIth Yaz, I think both Ben Clemens and Dan Szymborski have written on why he might be real.
TKDC
3:06
They actually did announce today that they would make up those games in Detroit if they mattered.
Craig Edwards
3:07
Very good.
I've got to run. Thanks for all the questions.
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