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D1Baseball Weekly Chat: April 13
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Jason
1:55
If you had to rank Mississippi State, FSU and Texas from least concerned to most concerned for their rest of season outlook, how would you do it?
Aaron Fitt
1:55
I am certainly not concerned at all about Texas -- this was their first losing weekend all year, on the road against an arch rival that has plenty of offensive firepower, no shame in a series loss there. Also no shame in FSU losing a road series at Georgia Tech -- FSU's pitching gives them a high floor as long as they stay healthy, though I admit I am still a bit concerned about how the Myles Bailey injury will impact the offense over the long haul this season. So I guess by default I'd put MSU as the team out of that trio that I am more concerned about, given the back to back series losses.... but as I said earlier, I am also very confident that they'll bounce back just fine. Still think that's a regional hosting team, feel strongly about that. I expect it more likely that they fight their way back into the top 8 mix than that they wind up not hosting. Long story short: not concerned about any of them, they'll all host, and they're all real Omaha contenders with a chance to win it all.
NonP4
1:56
How does the AAC look to shake out - seems like their in danger of being a 1-bid league with lots of pretty good, but not great teams?
Kendall Rogers
1:56
My feeling is the AAC will end up being a two-bid league. I think UTSA will obviously be in the field as of today, while I think ECU will be, too, granted it finishes the regular season on a high note.
Pizza
1:56
Portland Pilots are 3-0 against the Ducks and Beavers this year.  Is winning the WCC tournament the only way into the field of 64?
Kendall Rogers
1:56
Yep. 6-6 in the WCC (a terrible RPI league) and 63 in the RPI = better win the tournament.
Craig
1:56
How fired up are you for Ga. Tech @ UNC this weekend? Can UNC win that series? I'm not convinced they can. Big drop from top 2 teams in the country to everyone else, it seems.
Aaron Fitt
1:56
I'll be on hand Friday and Sunday, and I am certainly quite fired up for it. I think UNC has one of the nation's most talented pitching staffs and an improving position player group -- and GT has the nation's most talented lineup and an improving pitching staff. Gonna be a fun one. UNC could definitely take that series at home, no question about it. Not sure who I'm going to pick yet -- it IS hard to pick against Georgia Tech, that's an elite club. But UNC is also very very good, and playing at home, and playing well. Feels kinda like a toss-up to me.
Aggie Hopeful
1:59
Currently at 9-5 in the SEC, what do the Aggies need to do over the last 15 games to be a national seed?  What about a host?
Kendall Rogers
1:59
I have A&M with 17-18 wins in the league, which would make it a Top 16 host for sure, IMO, given the SOS//RPI of the remaining schedule.
James
1:59
Is it too harsh to question the resume USC is bringing to the table right now? 2-7 in Q1 games, 1-5 vs the likely projected tournament field. Overall, SOS and non-con SOS are meh. Feels like if the committee is forced to choose between USC and an SEC school with 16 wins for a hosting spot, USC is going to be in trouble.
Aaron Fitt
1:59
We have had similar conversations in our little NerdCast chat group... USC has a great record, and we like their pitching a lot... but man, the quality wins are lacking. USC's signature series win is that four-game sweep at Cal Poly -- a team that no longer has any chance to be an at-large team. To me, that is problematic, if I'm stacking USC up against a team that might have a worse record but a lot more high-end wins. I really value marquee series wins, and USC just doesn't have any. The next two weeks, at Nebraska and vs. Purdue, are critical for USC's hosting hopes, clearly.
Aaron Fitt
1:59
OK friends, that's all for me today, thanks for the discussion. See you next week!
Eric Simmons
1:59
How many Big Ten teams do you think will make the NCAA Tournament? I think 4. I think UCLA, USC, Oregon and Nebraska are the teams that I think will make the NCAA Tournament
Kendall Rogers
1:59
I'm going to go with four -- with an outside shot of a fifth team -- either Purdue or Michigan.
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