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D1Baseball Weekly Chat: May 22
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Jack
12:47
What are Texas Tech’s odds of making the tournament if they don’t win the big 12 tournament? How many games do they need to win in the B12 tourney to be safe or does it have to be the whole thing?
Kendall Rogers
12:47
Jack -- the bubble is pretty small right now, so Texas Tech is fine for now, but I'd have the Red Raiders as the sixth of seven Big 12 teams in the field. So, a poor showing in Arlington would likely spell doom. With that said, Tech AD Kirby Hocutt is on the committee, and that always means something even when the committees claim it doesn't.
Aaron Fitt
12:48
OK that's all I have time for today, thanks again, everyone!
Pop
12:49
Not sure if this is confirmed, but I head that the selection committee opted to not have an SEC rep on it this year. Do you think this well result in host seeding being less SEC heavy that the rankings?
Kendall Rogers
12:49
Committee chairman John Cohen is the athletic director at Auburn.
laughing 1
ACC fan
12:50
Who would your pick be for ACC Coach of the Year? Tom Walter for surpassing the lofty preseason expectations on Wake? Erik Bakich or Mike Gambino for leading unexpected turnarounds at Clemson and BC? Other?
Kendall Rogers
12:50
ACC -- I would go with Bakich. To go from where they were at the start of the season to where they are now is pretty incredible. Wake is not doing anything we didn't really expect them to do. Gambino would probably be right there with Bakich for me. BC was picked to finish last in the ACC.
Matt
12:51
Do you think it's fair to award and undeserving Oregon State a regional because ESPN would prefer (demands) a 2nd west coast host?  In my estimation the only team west of the Mississippi (other than Stanford) that is a sound bet to host is Oklahoma State. Does this move Dallas Baptist, or Texas into stronger consideration over an east coast team on the bubble to host with the tiebreaker being their time zone?  It's an only hour but perhaps the committee takes Texas and has a first pitch at 9pm rather than OSU in a 10pm window.
Kendall Rogers
12:51
I think Oregon State is actually more deserving than a couple of teams we have as hosts, I just don't think the committee will pull the trigger on a team with a 30 RPI. That's why we think they need to win a couple of games in the Pac-12 tourney.
Jon
12:53
Who is the Omaha sleeper this year? A team that isn't likely to host but you could easily see in Omaha and potentially winning the whole thing.
Kendall Rogers
12:53
Tennessee would fit this billing. The Vols have some really, really nice pieces on the mound. I'd advise teams to not let the Vols get too hot ...
Mojo
12:56
Is Oregon in danger of not making the NCAA Tournament if they go two and out in the Pac-12 Tournament? On the flip side, if they win the tournament, is there any off-chance of hosting?
Kendall Rogers
12:56
Mojo -- Oregon won't host even with winning the tournament, but I do think there's a slight chance it could drop out of the field with a poor showing in Scottsdale. I'm still betting the Ducks make the field, though. The bubble is just so incredibly small right now.
Jake
12:58
If could go back to preseason in February, which pair missing conference tourney would surprise you more: Ole Miss/State or Lville/FSU?
Kendall Rogers
12:58
The latter. I still had some question marks on Mississippi State coming into the season. I thought Louisville was going to be really good, and I thought FSU would actually be very good with Crowell, Baumeister, and with the addition of Link Jarrett. Great question (and close call).
NE ball
12:59
Does Kent St have a chance to get in if they don’t win the MAC?
Kendall Rogers
12:59
NE -- They definitely do given the fact their RPI is sitting at 46 and they dominated their conference. Let's say Kent State rolls through its conference tournament and falls short in the final game, I'd probably have the Flashes in... we will see what materializes this week.
Sherman
1:00
Hey guys. I asked a similar question last week, but will reword it this time. Of the four “bubble” teams in the Big 12, what is their order from least susceptible to most?
Kendall Rogers
1:00
Sherman:

TCU, Kansas State, Texas Tech, Oklahoma is my order going into Arlington.
laxtonto
1:01
Does A&M have to do well in the SEC tourney at this point?
Kendall Rogers
1:01
LAX -- with how weak the bubble is right now, the Aggies were not even really a bubble team in today's projections. Lose Tuesday and get some stolen bids and things could get pretty interesting. A win over Tennessee on Tuesday would pretty much seal the deal, though.
Dustin
1:02
Is UConn in no matter what happens in the big East tournament? Any possible path to hosting or is the RPI just to low?
Kendall Rogers
1:02
UCONN is definitely in no matter what. And the Huskies have an RPI of 25, which means they're within striking distance. Roll through the Big East tourney and they will have a s hot. The biggest road block right now is just the sheer number of host contenders right now. It's a laundry list.
JT
1:04
Thoughts on Ostrander taking over for Scott Berry @ USM?
Kendall Rogers
1:04
JT -- Love that hire for Southern Miss. Ostrander is an absolute rock star of a person and pitching coach, and he has experienced at all levels of coaching. I think that's a no-brainer, terrific hire for USM. He will carry the torch quite nicely.
cool 1
Ryan
1:06
What does Southern Miss need to do in the Fun Belt tournament in order to host? Won 15 out of the last 16. Have some impressive wins (including sweep of DBU) but the RPI is sitting at 28
Kendall Rogers
1:06
Ryan -- Great question. I love what USM has done as of late, and I think if it runs the table in the tournament it will be a tough club to deny a host for. That would mean an RPI around 18-21 with a sizzling hot last month of the season + a non-conference series sweep over fellow host contender DBU.
Ihateallteams
1:31
Most dangerous 4 seed?( if current 64 holds true?)
Kendall Rogers
1:31
I would put Oral Roberts in that mix. Same with someone like Grand Canyon. I also think Army and LMU are pretty dangerous as well.
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