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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 1/15/26

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Dan Szymborski

12:38

I never use caps lock!

BillW

12:38

Is there a Ryan O'Hearn ZiPS you can share?

Dan Szymborski

12:39

265/340/413, 109 OPS+, 1.4 WAR in 479 projected PA

Maria

12:39

The last move for the Sox is pitching for Paredes? Then they roll with four outfielders and Yoshida on the bench? Campbell and Casas in the minors?

Dan Szymborski

12:39

Imminently, I think so, and they wait to see how the spring rolsl out

Devil Ray Jay Johnson

12:39

A drunk but still legally competent Rob Manfred grants you "unlimited power" to resolve the A's situation once and for all. What do you do?

Dan Szymborski

12:39

John Fisher dunking booth

Devil Ray Jay Johnson

12:41

If you temporarily got to run a Hollywood studio and could greenlight a new major motion picture about baseball, what would that movie be?

Dan Szymborski

12:42

A sequel to the original Naked Gun that has Reggie Jackson as an assassin full time

BKJ

12:43

What WAS Jeff Samardzija?

Dan Szymborski

12:43

a Shark I believe.

I'm not sure what his connection with Jaffe's JAWS is

Tacoby Bellsbury

12:44

Which realistic destination for Bo Bichette would be the most impactful for the acquiring team? The Phillies and Dodgers both seem like "rich getting richer" scenarios.

Dan Szymborski

12:44

Oh, REALISTIC

dangit

12:45

Because he'd be a great fit with the Guardians!

I think him at 2B for Giants would be pretty impactful projection wise

caps lock

12:46

my wife uses caps lock instead of shift like a freak

Dan Szymborski

12:46

I'm quite comfortable making my ring finger work

with the pinky on shift

12:47

But I've been playign piano more than 40 years so I have pretty good finger dependence

independence

Lucha Lucha Todo Gente de Sur Global

12:47

Other than age is there any reason to prefer Shaw to Bregman anytime soon?

Dan Szymborski

12:47

Soon, no, but other than age is a bit like saying "but for that Mrs. Lincoln, did you enjoy the play?"

Phil

12:47

What is Ohtani's 99th percentile projection for total WAR? I wanna see some stupid video game-ahh numbers.

Dan Szymborski

12:48

I don't really have a mechanism for the percentiles for COMBINED

though I will note that his 99th percentile WAR projection as a DH is 11.3

Klubot3000

12:49

One ask on the comps table, could you include the year that's being comped? Or at the very least including the player's age?

Dan Szymborski

12:49

I could do that in the future. Years are going to be tricky fro space reasons as we have a pretty strict limit of 650 pixesl

but I can put age in there

Guest

12:49

Any of the sportsbooks over/under win totals you feel are just completely? I've identified a few

Dan Szymborski

12:49

I haven't even looked yet

Key Flaw

12:50

The Ranger Suarez velocity scares me. What sort of things about a pitcher can we project to counteract low/declining velocity? I see his ZiPS projections are ok, but a 90 mph fastball can't really be fooling major leaguers that much longer, right?

Dan Szymborski

12:50

I mean, there's a risk, but that he MAKES them miss is more important. For established pitchers, tit's changes in velocity that's more of a worry than the absolute velocity

War2D2

12:51

You should get an old Sun keyboard if you don’t use caps lock. Replaces it with a larger CTRL key. Weirded me out at my first job but in retrospect that was the best keyboard I ever had at an office. The programmers were in a little closet of a room and it sounded like a machine gun firefight was going on if everyone was typing at once.

Dan Szymborski

12:52

I mean, if I wanted to, I can pretty easily remap the caps lock and control keys

Like the right shift, I just don't use it

12:53

I don't think I've *ever* intentionally used my right-shift

Captainjameshook

12:53

Re: your 1sided tails Ohtani comment. Who else’s distribution has been that incongruous with the rest of the population?

Dan Szymborski

12:53

Judge, peak Bonds