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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 1/15/26

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Dan

12:21

are the Yankees going to end up with a ton of leftover international free agent money?

Dan Szymborski

12:21

Bit too soon, no? Still a lot of guys on the board

Maria

12:22

Ohtani > Greenland?

Dan Szymborski

12:23

I know how to utilize a baseball player way better than what to do with icy strategic land with natural resources

Mike E.

12:23

What would you do: potentially overpay Framber (with some lingering worried about the cross-up too) but have an ace-type, or go shorter term and cheaper for Gallen/Bassitt? Or trade for Gore? Help me!

Dan Szymborski

12:23

Depends on the team. If a team REALLY needs pitching, it's hard to dismiss Framber

Devil Ray Jay Johnson

12:24

What ZiPS projection so far has been the most eyebrow raising for you personally?

Dan Szymborski

12:24

The DEGREE it loves Roman Anthony and to a lesser extent, Zach neto

12:26

Maybe how much it likes Ethan Pecko?

Oaktown Blues

12:26

Shea Langeliers for Connelly Early - who says no?

Dan Szymborski

12:26

Honestly, I think the REd Sox are content with their catching situation

Goose

12:26

Biggest ZiPS overperformer since COVID?

Dan Szymborski

12:26

Brewers I think?

Dude

12:27

how do you think Pages playing time changes if the Dodgers sign Tucker?

Dan Szymborski

12:27

Well, negatively I would assume!

Harry

12:28

Who makes the majors first: Colt Emerson or Konnor Griffin? Or do they both debut on the same day?

Dan Szymborski

12:28

Probably Emerson

War2D2

12:28

Cubs fans are perpetually angry at Ian Happ for some reason, even though he’s basically paid the going rate for a 3-4 win player, and he’s a 3-4 win player year after year. I personally don’t want him gone, but if the Mets need a corner OF he’s probably available since he’ll be a FA next year and they need to figure out what they have in Alcantara.

Dan Szymborski

12:29

I don't think the CUBS are perpetually angry though and that's kinda what matters

فلسطين الحرة

12:29

Oh pls pls pls Dollander to Cubs

Look At This Sotograph

12:29

You're being scouted as a high school player. Is it better for your professional development to go to college, or to start in the minors ASAP? In terms of career WAR, and separately, in terms of career earnings. Let's say you would get to the big leagues at the same time either way.

Dan Szymborski

12:30

This is a bit of a copout of an answer, but there's a whole range of outcomes and quality of colleges/teams that I'm not sure you can choose one or the other

Guest

12:31

Do any primary DHs project for more WAR than Ohtani's 20% outcome? If not, how low in the % outcomes for Shohei do you have to go to find one?

Dan Szymborski

12:31

I don't believe so. Alvarez would if you feel confident about more playign time than ZiPS thinks

فلسطين الحرة

12:31

Horton > Wiggins no contest strikes are important as is spin

Baz Kanata

12:31

What do you make of Shane Baz this year?

Dan Szymborski

12:32

Really good upside, but a lot of risk. He should be FINE. You could say this about most of the O's rotation

Hundreds, Possibly Thousands

12:32

What teams, if any, might actually be interested in taking on a Ryan Mountcastle salary dump? The Diamondbacks?

Dan Szymborski

12:33

I could see the Padres being interested

and I use interested very loosely

I don't think there's much of a Mountcastle market out there.

Greg Berd

12:34

After the Bregman deal there was a lot of talk about Boston's unwillingness to include a no-trade clause, but won't Bregman have 10 and 5 rights before the end of this season? Even if it ultimately came down to money, why not throw that in if you're Boston?

Dan Szymborski

12:34

Wait, why would he have 10 and 5 rights?

The five refers to *past* five consecutive seasons with the current team

12:35

Bregman wouldn't even get those until after 2031 even if he had re-signed with the Astros

Or am I misunderstanding the q?

Kevin

12:35

I know you’ve addressed this type of thing before, but I’m trying to get my mind around it again now. Hunter Goodman’s top ZIPS comps are Tom Murphy and Carlton Fisk! Will Smith’s top comps are Bill Freehan, Carlton Fisk, and … Wally Schang?? How are we to make sense of Carlton Fisk together with Tom Murphy and Wally Schang?

Dan Szymborski

12:35

Because comps are where the person IS, not where he is going. The comps as a group give us an idea of where he may be going

12:37

Also, I would look up Wally Schang if I were you!

Insert Witty Name Here

12:38

Was your caps lock on?

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