Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 1/18/16
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Dan Szymborski
12:35
It's not crazy at all. Coors is still valuable.
The Dude of NY
12:35
Any idea why every projection system thinks that Dee Gordon will drop from a mid 4 WAR player in 2015 to a 2.5-3WAR player in 2016?
Dan Szymborski
12:36
For one, he has yet to establish this as his level of defense. Two, there's a big difference between maintaining a .340-.350 BABIP and a .380.
Julio Pepper
12:36
Prices for pitchers have been outrageous, if you trust the projected WAR calculations. And not just the FA signings but also the Padres robbery of the Red Sox, Giles trade, etc. Do you think this has anything to do with the one game Wild Card? Is it's importance as a playoff filter so large, and the disproportionate value of aces and relievers in single games have anything to do with the prices we're seeing?
Dan Szymborski
12:36
Haven't given it much thought, but I'd lean towards no.
12:37
I think the Red Sox looked at their bullpen and wanted to overpay for a really excellent one, not just for the one game.
jeff
12:37
Because the reds are in rebuild mode, wouldn't it be a mistake for the reds to not trade Joey Votto now? With the reds being a mid-market team, his contract would hinder improving the team when it becomes relevant again. Wouldn't the reds improve their future by unloading his contract if the opportunity arises?
Dan Szymborski
12:37
They're kind of in a spot where it's hard to trade Votto because even though he now appears to be working out better than a lot of these contracts, you can only really trade for salary relief
12:38
Let's not forget, he has an 8/200 contract remaining.
Matt
12:38
Dan, someone is using my name. You need to banish this impostor-Matt
Dan Szymborski
12:38
You need a more distinctive name.
12:39
Consider Matteo, Matthias, or Matthew and Son.
Outta my way, Gyorkass!
12:39
I've heard Lucroy isn't good enough to net Gioloto, and I don't have much to object to there, but is there anything else the Brewers have to sweeten the pot to make it happen? Perhaps a lights-out bullpen arm like Smith? Kind of like how they thew in Fiers to the Gomez deal to net the return they got? Does it need to be something more valuable like a cost-controlled SP under more team control?
Dan Szymborski
12:39
I don't believe they can land Giolito.
Jake
12:39
say you're the yankees, and you're given the option of extending just one of pineda or eovaldi at the same terms, who do you take
Dan Szymborski
12:40
Eovaldi until Pineda can stay healthy for a second year.
Justin
12:40
I believe the collective noun is a "buzz" of espressos.
Jack
12:41
Your thoughts on Sean Manaea? Does he come up at any point this season and what's a realistic ceiling for him?
Dan Szymborski
12:42
He very well may. I see him more as a really good #2 if he's a hit.
rick hahn
12:42
Best option - sign Upton and forfeit pick or Cespedes - assuming similar contracts - or get CarGo without giving up Fulmer or Anderson? shorter commitment and money should be roughly similar.
Dan Szymborski
12:42
Cespedes. Not super-itnerested in CarGo
Bip
12:42
My stupid fanboy question of the day: Is the ZIPS projection for Clayton Kershaw this year the best you've ever seen for a pitcher?
Dan Szymborski
12:42
Yes
mike
12:42
Are Hanley and Pablo non issues in Boston this year??
Dan Szymborski
12:43
Non-issues in what way? Non-issues in that they'll be OK or non-issues in which they'll suck and not contribute?
Bork
12:43
Re: Fister to the O's. Wouldn't a pitcher trying to re-gain value try to avoid the AL East?
Dan Szymborski
12:43
The AL East is not as scary division as it once was and it's a good park fit
jeff
12:43
Does your projections for free agents change once they sign with a team?
Dan Szymborski
12:43
Yes
The Original Greaser Bob
12:43
Train A leaves New York traveling 87 MPH, and Train B leaves Miami traveling at 93 MPH, do the Diamondbacks still suck next year? Thanks!
Dan Szymborski
12:43
No. They're OK. Not great, but OK.
Philly Phanatic
12:43
Xander B or Carlos C? To build your franchise on?
Dan Szymborski
12:43
Correa, but only because you gave me a cruel choice.
Christian Galvin
12:43
King Felix for Moncada, Owens, Espinosa who says no?
Dan Szymborski
12:44
Mariners aren't trading him.
Q-Ball
12:44
Thanks Dan for sharing list of FA you hated last offseason...only Volquez on that list really worked out. So you really hate NONE this offseason so far? Other than Orioles overpaying Davis?
Dan Szymborski
12:44
Well, I don't *hate* Davis
I do hate the Kennedy signing.
12:45
I hate Parra signing, Pelfrey signing, Axford signing, but we're taking smaller amounts of dough now
Justin
12:45
Utley is two years removed from a 4-WAR season. He's at least a lottery ticket this season, right?
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