Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 1/18/16
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Dan Szymborski
12:45
Yeah
Bip
12:45
With the way crazy K rates are today, and the way offense is down, what would a modern day Pedro look like? 44% K, 4% BB, 0.25 HR/9? Is that actually possible? Would peak Pedro have done that today?
Dan Szymborski
12:46
He'd strike out 4 batters an inning. Prime Pedro would strike out a guy so hard that they'd just call the next dude out too.
j6takish
12:46
QO system is disastrous, too many good players not getting signed over draft. Under the old A/B system, I don't remember teams being so scared of giving up a pick. Guys like Scott Downs and Ted Lily were type A guys
Dan Szymborski
12:46
I think this is overstated simply because it coincides with a world in which teams value farm development more highly
If the old A/B system was in place, you'd still see a lot of this.
Tank
12:47
FG Dollar Values have Yoenis Cespedes being worth $53.9 million last year. We know Sandy Alderson values one-year deals. At the start of free agency, would it have made sense to offer Cespedes a one-year, $30 million offer? Would he have taken it?
Dan Szymborski
12:47
Maybe not, but if I'm a team in win-now mode with a need, I'd happily plunk down 1/35
You can justify a *lot* more in a 1 year deal
Likely he doesn't take it, but at least make him turn it down
Kevin
12:47
So who is taking Gallardo? Doesn't seem like anyone wants to bite that $70MM+ draft pick compensated bullet.
Dan Szymborski
12:48
I thought Kennedy would have issues and I like Galalrdo more than kennedy
The Original Greaser Bob
12:48
I didn't realize Leake, Kennedy, and Samardzija were interesting.
Dan Szymborski
12:48
Kennedy's not.
Dan Szymborski
12:48
Dan, someone is using my name. You need to banish this impostor-Dan
Dan Szymborski
12:48
BLUE CHECKMARK FOR THE WIN
PaulC
12:50
is too much SP going cause any issues for Dodgers? 10 SP deep at this point. Is Alex Wood odd man out?
Dan Szymborski
12:50
They're in a wait-and-see
Jon
12:50
Who would you acquire for RF if you were Dan Duquette?
Dan Szymborski
12:50
Cespedes, though Duquette obviously can't take money from Angelos's wallet willy-nilly
some guy
12:50
Everyone is enamored with the Cubs this offseason (rightfully so). But the NL Central has 2 other really good teams. Supposing a few key injuries to Cubbies, what has to go right for the Pirates to win the division?
Dan Szymborski
12:50
Not as much as one would think - there's a lot of uncertainty in the future
Givemedilaudid
12:50
Would a rebuilding team (Phillies or Braves, for example) signing Cespedes/Upton to a front-loaded contract, and then trading him for prospects 1 or 2 year in make any sense?
Dan Szymborski
12:51
It might, but you have to think if that frontloaded money is worth what they get.
Sick Stadium
12:51
If Benoit closes in Seattle I would imagine it would only be for the 2016 season. Who do you see being the Mariners closer of the future now that Carson Smith is in Boston.
Dan Szymborski
12:51
I don't think the M's future closer is currently in the system
Jordan
12:51
Should the Jays make a move for Votto either now or next off season and allow EE and/or Bautista walk?
Dan Szymborski
12:51
I'd wait-and-see.
The Dude of NY
12:51
Do you ever look at Kershaw's stats and think that there must be a typo?
Dan Szymborski
12:51
Sometimes
Givemedilaudid
12:52
Would free agency be a better place if we just got rid of the qualifying offer system? Or at least took the (negative) factor away; team that lost the FA would get a pick, but team that signed the FA would not have to give up the pick?
Dan Szymborski
12:53
I don't think the owners will just scrap the system. For 40 years, one of the principles the owners have stuck hard to is making sure there's *some* factor in losing a FA.
*Some* player they get.l
The Dude of NY
12:53
Yesterday, David Laurila wrote that Jose Iglesias is just as good as Andrelton Simmons. Would you disagree, strongly disagree, or vehemently disagree with that statement?
Dan Szymborski
12:53
Stronly.
jeff
12:53
Why don't owners just allow the qualifying offers to exists and just remove the draft pick penalty for the signing team? That way the old team gets a compensation pick, and the player doesn't lose value because of team not wanting to lose a pick.
Dan Szymborski
12:53
It's a possibility, but I'd have to think of it.
some guy
12:53
Do you think Rob Kaminsky and/or Mike Clevenger get a battery of espresso this season for the Tribe?
Dan Szymborski
12:53
Yes.
Bork
12:53
The QO system isn't perfect but it's much better than the A/B system that some GM's would take advantage of. That and we're just seeing the QO system start to work with players accepting QO's.
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