Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 1/18/16
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Dan Szymborski
12:53
Yeah, I think people are having a little nostalgia for how arbitrary that A/B system was.
12:54
The formula was absurd.
Bork
12:54
What gets moved first. Archer's contract or the Rays to another city?
Dan Szymborski
12:54
Archer
Joe
12:54
Would 5/100 work for a Machado extension?
Dan Szymborski
12:54
No.
12:55
He's in arbitration now. If you're going to buy out free agency years at this point, your extension is going to have to have at least a 2 after the dollar sign and i'm not talking 2/$20.
Jack
12:55
What do you think about Josh Reddick as a RF option for Baltimore? Does Dariel Alvarez and Chance Sisco for Reddick work for both sides?
Dan Szymborski
12:55
I would like the option.
Givemedilaudid
12:55
Is Andruw Jones a Hall of Famer?
Dan Szymborski
12:56
He's not yet eligible. But when he is in fact eligible, he should be, but won't.
Because right now, the standards for HoF induction are crazy high.
Unless you're a closer
Skarp Hedin
12:56
Does pragmatism exist? Isn't it just a con or lack of insight by the person telling you they are a pragmatist?
Dan Szymborski
12:56
I think it does.
Bork
12:56
If people want to complain about the QO system and draft picks, the competitive balance lottery needs to go first.
Q-Ball
12:56
Why Dan do you hate the Parra signing? Rockies probably figured they could spend $30 mil on Parra, who is maybe better than Car-Go, then trade Car-Go and that $37 mil off for a prospect. Result: Rox save $7 mil, get a prospect, get younger, and probably not worse. Even if they just get $30 mil of salary relief on Car-Go, wont' that work out for them in the end?
Dan Szymborski
12:56
Because there's no purpose.
12:57
Parra doesn't fill a win-now need or a win-later need. It's just pointless.
If you're in a gameplan in which you're trading away your other outfielders, then there's no purpose for a risk-averse fourth-outfielder starting and being paid $10 million.
All it fits is with the Rockies general gameplan: try to win 75-80 games and get lucky sometimes.
Givemedilaudid
12:58
The worst front office in baseball belongs to...? The best?
Dan Szymborski
12:58
Rockies, Cubs
Matt
12:58
Is there an easy way to find the ZiPS projections you've done so far? Or do I have to search through all the FG posts?
Dan Szymborski
12:58
They don't go all up.
Joe
12:58
To follow up on Machado, if he makes a total of $30M in arb (including the $5M he signed for 2016) and then gets $30M a year in FA, 5/100 would be more in the next five years. Then he'd still only be 29 and back on the FA market.
Dan Szymborski
12:59
I'd be surprised if he signs for that.
You're not paying for him being a FA at 29 instead of 27 which is a MASSIVE difference.
1:00
Machado should've been signed his rookie year.
(and it's not hindsight, I'm sure you can find me yelling about it on Twitter)
He's a free agent going into his age 26 season. The O's will have to pay a lot now.
Won
1:00
Would you rather have next six years of Zach Greinke or Juio Urias?
Dan Szymborski
1:01
Depends on the organization.
Matt
1:01
When you buy your MLK Day cake, is it usually real cake, or ice cream cake?
Dan Szymborski
1:01
I don't like ice cream cake that much.
Vic Romano
1:01
What do you think of Gerardo Parra in COL? Assuming they clear a spot for him to play everyday, that thin air can't hurt his bat, right?
Dan Szymborski
1:01
It doesn't make him better it just makes his numbers greater.
Q-Ball
1:01
If you were Rockies GM Dan, what would you do? Commit to a rebuild and start trading off your quality veterans?
Dan Szymborski
1:02
Rebuild. They don't have the roster or the cash for a win-now.
OK, we've hit 1, so let's go to the Lightning Round.
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