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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 1/18/18
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AvatarDan Szymborski
2:36
You can have beer and tacos.  It should be explored, but it always depends on the other side also being willing
Pat
2:36
If the Rangers were to sign Yu Darvish, they would only finish _________ games behind the Astros and would have a ___% chance of getting one of the AL wild cards
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:36
I think the Rangers are a tthe end of the string
CarrotJuice
2:36
Do you think the Cole/McCutchen trades are in any way related to the Hosmer/RAND conspiracy?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:36
We can only see.  Have to see what my agents come up with.
VampWeekAtBern
2:36
Are there any valuable spring training stats?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:36
There's *some* value, but minimal
Andrew
2:36
Is launch angle/launch velocity data incorporated? That may be a more functional measurement of a swing change.
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:37
I have it, but I have some not-obviously-public things
VampWeekAtBern
2:37
Who at Fangraphs has the best hair?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:37
Eno
CamdenWarehouse
2:37
What team should I watch this year since the O's won't be fun?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:37
Astros.  Need a palette cleanser of good pitching after watching hte O's
Slamboni
2:37
I am very curious to see what ZiPS projects for Trevor Bauer for 2018. Finished 2018 very strong, any guess to what his stat line looks like?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:38
Like I'm spoiling Monday's projections
Billy Beane
2:38
Dan, you really should be on Fangraphs Audio. Please. LEt me know if we should start sending Carson Cistulli unnecessarily grandiloquent letters lobbying for it.
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:38
You should lobby Carson, but he only responds to actionable threats
Iordan
2:38
Do CLE, NYY, BOS, CHC, and WSH all basically belong in the same tier right now? Any meaningful differences?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:38
I think they'r ein the same tier
Theo
2:39
Would Happ, Almora, Montgomery and Albertos/Alzolay be in the ballpark to get Yelich?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:39
Yes
Head
2:40
Elvis Andrus...can his power sustain?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:40
Generally homers for batters aren't that fluky
velo
2:40
what factors does zips look at when projecting ISO in a younger player with better than average contact skills?  ozzie albies for example put up higher iso in his debut than any point in the minors, granted it increased from AA to AAA.  curious if there's factors to consider, especially in smaller players, Altuve, Betts, maybe Albies, all who came up with solid hit tools but were undersized.
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:40
Generally speaking, I've found minimal value to size data.
Simply put, we're missing a lot of the data that we have for majors
2:41
ZiPS knows stuff like strike percentage and spray data for minors, but no direct velocity stuff
Billy Beane
2:41
Dan, if you had to make a whole new projection system from scratch, do you think you would end up basically with ZiPS again, or are there things you could change that you just don't because the work/marginal value calculations don't make sense?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:41
I think I'd end up with ZiPS, but more organized and in Python
botchatheny
2:41
if our nuclear arsenal was hooked up to a video game controller, would it be as simple as the atari 2100 or complex like the current gen systems?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:42
Sadly, I think it's like an Atari 2600.  After all, the Panic We're All Going to Die announcement appears to have been a big red button saying "Panic."
Bret
2:42
Who's going to sign Lorenzo Cain?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:42
SF is my favorite.
Pat
2:42
To all Yankees fans, there are only 25 spots on the active roster. You don't need every player that is on the trade block
Morbo
2:42
What, one. move can the Cardinals still make this off-season to significantly increase their WS odds?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:42
Abduct Mike Trout
Josh Harrison
2:42
I may want a trade, but isn't my trade value roughly zero given all the other available infielders?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:42
You have a solid contract
Sandy Ravage
2:43
If Maikel Franco hit his ZiPs projections on the head in 2018 (.266/25/72) would we be saying that a) he is still underwhelming and has been a disappointment b) that there is improvement and a breakout could be coming or c) this is probably as good as it gets and thats ok?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:43
There's still potential, but the upside's been going down down down
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