JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 1/21/21

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Dan Szymborski

12:27

ZiPS sees him about a +6 RF, so around the same

Trent

12:27

Trevor Bauer to the Twins: does this make sense? The Twins have been in on Ohtani, Ryu, Cole, etc., so could Bauer be the big-name pitcher they finally land?

Dan Szymborski

12:27

There are very few locations where contender + Bauer doesn't make sense!

Logan

12:27

Is Trevor Story a legitimate trade candidate? I heard his name in rumors early in the off-season, but haven't heard anything lately, and Colorado is always touch to predict.

Dan Szymborski

12:28

He is, but who knows if he's traded. I expect the Rockies aren't being realistic in their trade goals.

I have a couple pretty good sources that have indicated to me that the team expected to get bowled over for Arenado offers and it hasn't happened.

Dosh Jonaldson

12:28

Do you think Realmuto will break the AAV record for a catcher with so few apparent suitors?

Dan Szymborski

12:28

I do

Mabel

12:29

Is it fair for White Sox fans to be upset if there is no substantial increase in payroll (over their previous peak) after all of these years of low payrolls and horrible baseball?

Dan Szymborski

12:29

Yes

99 losses

12:29

Hey Dan, I can't remember if you have ever looked back at how ZiPS has performed (like 5 or 10 years back in time). Could you point me to a link or article where you have evaluated ZiPS over a long period of time?

Bonus points if the article talks about tweaks that may be needed to correct the projections.
Thank you so much!

Dan Szymborski

12:29

I don't have an independent look to give you, unfortunately.

I do my own internally, but I have an insurmountable conflict of interest

Dee Arby

12:29

Did you hear that Tofu is a big topic of discussion in Ben’s chats? Does Tofu belong in chili?

Dan Szymborski

12:29

Gross! what are you guys doing to poor Ben?

George

12:30

Would Bauer to the Nats give them the top projected rotation again?

Dan Szymborski

12:30

I believe he woudl

would

isaic16

12:30

As a long-time Padres fan, I find the current team somewhat confusing. If you look at their last few years, they've worked to build up a whole bunch of prospects and really beef up their system, graduated a few top guys to build a core, then traded from the excess to build what is looking like a great team. The confusing part is that the management has been claiming that was their strategy since probably before I was born, and yet this time it's actually working. I'm trying to figure out what's different. Is Preller's scouting just that much better than the guys before him? Was he luckier? Is there a fundamental difference in the strategy I'm missing? Is it because we're actually spending more than the money under the sofa cushions?

Dan Szymborski

12:30

It helps that they didn't go after pretend-good players like Kemp.

(since Hosmer signing at least)

12:31

But of course they're going to say it's all part of the plan.

Everyone successful says their failures helped them.

Appa Yip Yip

12:31

So you all realize that the bags of milk go into a container with a handle, right? We're not just out here wrangling floppy milk into our cereal.

Dan Szymborski

12:31

Why shift to a container? The milk is already in the container.

Tim Tebow's Thunder Thighs

12:31

Is it still chili if you replace the beans with macaroni?

Dan Szymborski

12:32

It wasn't chili to start with and it's not now

Jack

12:32

Any advise for a young statistics student trying to learn more about baseball research?

Dan Szymborski

12:32

Ask your own questions and try to find the answers.

Adam

12:32

Which of last year's five worst bullpens by WAR (BOS, COL, PHI, SEA, MIA) is most likely to finish with a top-5 pen this year?

Dan Szymborski

12:32

Oh god, what are you doing to me?

12:33

Phillies, I guess?

James

12:33

Who plays CF for the Astros on opening day? Please don't say Myles Sraw

Dan Szymborski

12:33

Easy. Myles Straw.

Guest

12:33

What the hell are the Cubs doing?

Dan Szymborski

12:34

Friar Guy

12:35

Preller says he's looking for a bench bat; ideally a lefty. Who makes the most sense?

Dan Szymborski

12:35

Rosario would be fun

DmvNat

12:35

Do you believe the Nats have one big move left in them, being that they still have about 27 million left under the tax?

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