JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 1/21/21

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 1/21/21

powered by

Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page

Bighen

12:15

I was surprised by how positive ZIPS was on Springers defense going forward. Does Dan agree with that or ?? A number of other analysts including some on FG are not too hot on his prospects in CF. I think either Ben or one of the other guys wasn’t sure he could even get through this coming season there.

Dan Szymborski

12:16

I'm less hot than ZiPS. But ZiPS is a bunch of hopefully well thought out algorithms, not a bunch of hopefully well thought out algorithms plus my thumb!

laughing

2

I wouldn't add my thumb even if it made the projections better.

Chris

12:16

Do the big names in sports reporting just use the same source (each other as source)? Or what? How'd they drop the ball on brantley so badly?

Dan Szymborski

12:16

It varies. Everyone has their own list of people they talk to.

12:17

I'm not really a source accumulator simply because I'm not a reporter. I probably talk to people in baseball more about *non* baseball things than baseball things!

12:18

As an analyst, I'm very careful at playing favorites.

For example, I don't call up David and have a pow-wow whenever I'm talking Padres. I don't think we've had *any* exchanges about Padres moves in two years.

12:19

Every journalist sees their role differently and ought to be true to their philosophy.

12:20

*I* try to be as objective as I can possibly be and see my role as a journalist as an adversarial one, whether I agree or disagree with the front office generally. I seek to inflict the comfortable.

If the Rockies do something smart and I still make fun of them for it, then I don't see myself as competent for my job.

Appa Yip Yip

12:20

It sure is swell when your team tries to be good.

Dan Szymborski

12:20

It is. More teams should try it.

Ridiculous Trade Ideas

12:20

Vlad Guerrero Jr. for Luis Castillo: who says no?

Dan Szymborski

12:20

That's actually kind of a fun trade.

Fernando Tatis-Buck Jr.

12:20

Impact of Wong and Kiké to mets?

Dan Szymborski

12:21

I don't think *huge* but they'd have roles

I'd much prefer McNeil/Lindor/Wong left to right over Davis/Lindor/McNeil

clevsteelengines

12:21

Danny Santana doesn't have a team or his health. Arguably was a top 150 player who has now fallen off the board. Does he still have his value when he returns? Or was he a product of the Rangers running and the hot air in globe life?

Dan Szymborski

12:22

I think he's heading into the Wes Helms/Ron Coomer stage of his career.

Adam

12:22

Any chance the PA and owners just extend the CBA by a year just to get some distance from the pandemic?

Dan Szymborski

12:22

I don't have a great feel where they currently are. But I'd see this as a good thing.

Yeah, the players have some real concerns, but this is an awful environment to re-do the CBA.

Dbo

12:22

Have you tried the Cheetos Mac and cheese yet?

Dan Szymborski

12:22

No. I like real cheese.

Appa Yip Yip

12:23

The Odd Couple but it's you and ZiPS

Dan Szymborski

12:24

I can see the teaser "One's a dough middle-aged man who is incompetent at most things in life. The other's a set of algorithms.What will happen when they go in on a Five Guys franchise together?"

One Guy, a Non-Parametric Model, and a Burger Place

DJ

12:24

Do you think any team in the NL Central will commit to a contract >$20 million in total value for a free agent this off-season? If so, which team is most likely to "make a splash"?

Dan Szymborski

12:24

No

YardGoat

12:24

Are you surprised that Springer got $150M in this particular offseason? Seems to be more than any team was expected to spend post-2020

Dan Szymborski

12:25

I'm not TOO surprised. I think this is the offseason we really start to see non-linearity in wins push through.

But I'm mildly suprised that everyone didn't chicken out

Dosh Jonaldson

12:25

Hi Dan, looks like Toronto's offseason plan is well under way. At this juncture, and assuming they could only add 2 more players to their roster, is there any combination of generally available players (either by trade or FA) who would push them past the Yankees in the team WAR projections? Part 2 of this question is how close do you think they'll get to the Yankees by the time the offseason is over?

Dan Szymborski

12:25

7 more wins is tough

Bauer would be a good start

12:26

Brantley would have really been a nice add

right and first are probably the biggest weaknesses after you have Bauer take, say, Tanner Roark's innings

12:27

and htere' just not a great deal out there

John

12:27

What would Springers projections look like over the next 6 years if he was a full-time RF?

Connecting…

Register

Message History

On Off

On Off

On Off

Your current subscriptions

None

Register now to continue managing your subscriptions

E-mail Address	Chat Owner	Status	Remove

Enter your email address to be notified when Dan Szymborski hosts a chat