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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 1/24/18
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AvatarDan Szymborski
2:47
Yes
john s
2:47
Should the Padres sign Eric Hosmer now or cut off the toes of the first hundred season ticket holders to reup?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:47
Heh
Dan
2:47
My ATL/LAD payroll based trade proposal:     ARI acquires Jacoby Ellsbury (3/$68M); NYY acquires Yasmani Tomas (3/$48M, but with an AAV of only $11M for luxury tax purposes, because his contract is backloaded).  Arizona gets the better player and can get rid of Tomas for only a bit of extra money (maybe New York kicks in another $10M or a mid level prospect?).  New York gets a significantly reduced AAV player for luxury tax purposes.  Ellsbury gets to play every day in Arizona, where he lives during the offseason.
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:48
I've heard worse ideas.
Career guy
2:48
Devers or Sano, longterm?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:48
Devers.  But that's becuase I like Devers
2007 Jake Peavy
2:48
You live in an alternate universe and you just became the owner/GM of the 31st MLB team (Expos, let's say). Bud Selig is still the commissioner and is off his rocker, and stipulates that your expansion roster consist one of the following: 1) Your selection of the best 8 prospects in baseball with the rest of your team selected from the standard expansion set of cast off players; 2) Your selection of the best 4 MLB pitchers with the rest of your team selected from AAA players who have never made it to the Majors; or 3) Your selection of the best 4 MLB hitters with the rest of your team selected from AAA players who have never made it to the Majors. Which option do you take?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:48
I'd take 3.
No way Bud's that generous to me
John H
2:48
This sure feels like collusion. Maybe it's not like mid 80's collusion but the owners found a way to side step without this being illegal. This is the modern day collusion.
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:49
I don't think so.
There's simply a lot more unanimity on a player's value then there ever was, which is going to suppress auctions.
2:50
A $20 bill has real value.  But everyone knows what a $20 bill is worth.  There is unlikely to be a crazy person who bids $100
Julian
2:50
What’s the argument against Andruw Jones for the HOF?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:50
That you only have 10 spots and dont' want to game your ballot
Gub Gub
2:50
What is your stance on mascots?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:51
They exist
john s
2:51
Mookie Betts is on the Red Sox.  What color Padres' jersey will Eric Hosmer look best in?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:51
Everything looks good in mustard-and-brown.  But the Padres prefer vanilla on their dogs for some reason
Eddie Dingle
2:51
ZiPS has Khris Davis going for 36 HR, what are the odds he cracks 40 again?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:51
Based on zips, I dunno, 40%?  DOn't have it in front of m,e
Pad Squad's Friend
2:51
I think what Pad Squad is getting at is that, when looking at the 2019, 2020 FA classes, there aren't any other players out there for the Padres to pick up who will have the same impact that Hosmer will have. If that's the case, making the reservation for Hosmer in 2018 makes more sense, especially if they are able to structure a deal that pays him significantly more than most contracts in the front two years before the bulk of the Myers contract kicks in in 2020.
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:52
It doesn't make Hosmer any better.
And the needs in 2 more seasons aren't known yet
MikeM
2:52
Re: The Yankees and marginal wins.  With the advent of the play-in game wouldn't the Yankees look to add a bit to try to create some separation between them and the Red Sox to try and avoid the game or is it a better strategy to let the first few months of the season play out and then address your weaknesses at the trade deadline?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:52
I didn't so no marginal value, just that it starts to disappear
2:53
I actually think the Yankees are significantly better than the Red Sox
Matt
2:53
With the strength of the Padres farm how far away from contention do you see them as?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:53
2020 unless they screw it up
Gub Gub
2:53
Fill in the blank.  There was a vote, and you have been exiled to Mars. We tried to put a positive spin on it by saying, "What an honor, Dan is going to be the first ________ on Mars!"
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:54
If I'm being exiled to Mars, I imagine I'd choose suicide first.
I do NOT like flying
Gub Gub
2:54
This of course assumes that there is already a thriving Mars community
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:54
I think still
Ben
2:54
Is Ruiz/Camargo sufficient for Braves at 3B, or do you see them going after Frazier or Moustakas?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:54
I mean it's not *good* but I think answering the question is of more value to the Braves than 2018 wins
hscer
2:55
surely Carson has no longer "just" published his book. why do you tacitly endorse such deception?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:55
In the context of eons he just did
Commodore Pork Biscuit
2:55
People seem to have gotten wise to the municipal stadium scam, but still seem to be stuck in a "greedy players" mentality over free agent contracts.  How does that perception change?
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