JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 1/24/18

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Dan Szymborski

2:39

I t hink that'll be tough.

Let's say Arcia is an above-average regular long-term. Some of that will necessarily be from defensive value (if it happens), which you don't get rewarded for.

RotoLando

2:39

Who has a weaker union, MLB Players or Longshanks' fey son in Braveheart?

Dan Szymborski

2:39

heh

Chuncey Wiggins

2:39

Do you think Nolan Ryan threw faster than Chapman?

Dan Szymborski

2:40

Probably not. Maybe it would be different if Ryan was relief only.

Wes

2:40

01/03/18 chat you dropped a hint of a hidden name in the Blue Jays ZiPs. I missed last week's chat but don't see that you told us your secrets. Who's the hidden gem?

Dan Szymborski

2:40

There's a Wild Wild West reference in there.

Tom Hendry

2:40

What are your thoughts on the slow pace of this offseason? It seems like the guys who do sign like Santana or Bruce or Chatwood got exactly what they were expected to get, maybe even a couple million more. Were they just lucky to get contracts on par with last year or what?

Dan Szymborski

2:40

There's simply less stupid money out there

Plenty of money, but there are fewer people going OMG RBIS THROW ALL THE MONEY AT IT

2:41

I think that owners make most of the horrible big-money signings these days.

Nesi

2:41

Do you remember the name of the old guy who used to predict hall of fame election results? He might have been a professor?

Dan Szymborski

2:41

I do not

Cody

2:41

How much sense does Lorenzo Cain make to the Braves?

Dan Szymborski

2:41

Makes some sense, but I'd be interested ina s horter-term solution

2:42

The Brewers do have assets there and since there is a limited number of free agents that they'll ever have on the same roster, I'd keep the powder dry for Cain

BUT there's a price at which it makese sense anyway

Dan Dan the Cheerleading Man

2:42

What is the ideal bread texture for a sandwich, I recently had Taylor Gourmet and thought it was too tough. However, my east coast friends called me weak and said sandwiches should have tough bread but I prefer soft. What's your take?

Dan Szymborski

2:42

I think i tdepends what's in the sandwich

2:43

If you have very tougher chewy insides, I like soft bread. But if you have something really soft like some kind of mayonnaise salad thing, I like something a little tougher on the soutisde

2:44

what position does ZiPS project Nick Senzel to play? and beyond that, where do you think he'll fit into the Reds plans this season?

Dan Szymborski

2:44

It's the fourth field in the projectiosn!

Tom Hendry

2:44

Mountcastle is stating out at 3B in Bowie this year.

Dan Szymborski

2:44

I was actually completely unaware of that

I missed them throwing in the towel

TKDC

2:44

Does player weight/height factor into Zips, and if so, do you have Luiz Gohara at his listed 210 lbs.?

Dan Szymborski

2:44

I found it didn't really provide much value

Reds Fan in Distress

2:44

I'm horrified at the though that Jesse Winker will be relegated to being a part of an outfield rotation. Am I the only one who thinks this is insanity?

Dan Szymborski

2:44

No, it's insanity.

2:45

If Schebler or Duvall prvent the Reds from playing Winker full-time, th en you trade Schebler or Duvall

Rod

2:45

How long does a player have to wait to sign before his attached qualifying offer evaporates? Is it Opening Day? Didn't that happen with Kendrys Morales a few years ago?

Dan Szymborski

2:45

Stephen Drew too

2:46

It doesn't disappear ujntil the draft

Raul Gillette

2:46

If you were running the Yankees, would you sign a stopgap guy for 2B and/or 3B or just run the kids out there from Day 1 of the season?

Dan Szymborski

2:46

I think I'd sign a stopgap at third and get to Torres quickly

2:46

are there particular stats within ZiPS that you've found to have more strong predictors than others? i.e. can it predict any particular stats with more certainty than others?

Dan Szymborski

2:46

Well, it's not really a ZiPS problem, simply that, say, BA is naturally more volatile than walk rate

john s

2:46

the dave matthews band has far more pressing problems than granularity issues.

Rod

2:46

Should the Braves trade Arodys Vizcaino? I would

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