JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 1/28/21

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Erik

12:36

I find it wild that while two of the big three young phenoms (Soto and Tatis) earned ZiPS comps to Ted Williams and A-Rod, the third (Acuna) was comped to...Jose Canseco? How much is that me being too young to know enough about early-career Canseco and how much is that ZiPS saying that Acuna is really nowhere near the same level as the other two?

Dan Szymborski

12:36

I think the former

Canseco was UNBELIEVABLY good in the late 80s

Eminor3rd

12:37

Ok be honest, how pumped are you at the potential of a Tanaka/Norimoto/Kishi/Wakui/Shiomi/Takinaka rotation to start the season for the Eagles? Keeping in mind that the rookie phenom Hayakawa will hopefully be knocking on the door for a spot by midseason. It's a rotation that comes with significant injury risk, but I feel a lot better about Ishibashi/Fujihira/Fukui as depth/replacements than as back-end anchors. It's crazy how much better that rotation looks by adding Tanaka!

I'm kidding, I know no one cares about NPB, but you all should!

Dan Szymborski

12:37

I care!

Tanaka going back there is huge

brad penny for your thoughts

12:37

will the NL central champ have a winning record?

Dan Szymborski

12:37

Yes.

Kyler

12:37

Wanted to tell you that I recently became a cat owner and I love it. Never thought a creature would bring so much joy. Cats are funny animals. She keeps us laughing!

Glenn Danszymborski

12:38

are there any statistical qualities from 2020 that ZiPS finds particularly credible?

Dan Szymborski

12:38

ZiPS is quite sure that the games played in 2020 are an accurate accounting

Moonlight Graham

12:38

Do you think Tanaka will make his way back to the MLB in the future?

Dan Szymborski

12:38

I dunno. Has anyone actually come here from NPB twice?

My guess would be no

Erik

12:39

Can you think of any recent analogs to this Phillies team? I can't remember the last team that spent so much while still being nowhere close to truly contending.

Dan Szymborski

12:39

There's the angels!

Jeb

12:39

Sorry if this is easy - where I can I find an aggregated, league-wide 2021 ZIPS driven playoff probability table?

Dan Szymborski

12:39

Oh, I'll probably do a full public run at spring training open

and, of course, before the season

Guest

12:40

If the Phillies make the playoffs it's because _______ took a surprising step forward

Dan Szymborski

12:40

the entire outfield

Guest

12:40

Is Fangraphs going to join the bandwagon and become a gambling website?

Dan Szymborski

12:40

STONKGRAPHS

A big dumb idiot

12:40

How close does ZiPS see the AL East race now?

Dan Szymborski

12:41

It hasn't changed a TON since the Springer piece.

oops

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-jays-put-a-springer-in-their-step/

Matt

12:42

When do you predict you'll attend your next live baseball game?

Dan Szymborski

12:42

June

I'm not going until I have two shots hanging out and chillin' in my blood

onomatopoeia

12:42

Any exciting methodology changes for ZiPS 2021?

Dan Szymborski

12:43

Nothing dramatic

Though I took batter percentiles out of beta

Royals Fan

12:43

Can KC sign Joc instead of a cheaper outfielder?

Dan Szymborski

12:43

It would be in line with what they think they're doing

Don Von Handburger

12:43

Will Canada let me in for vacation this summer?

Dan Szymborski

12:43

maybe the fall

Appa Yip Yip

12:43

Dan, the WRONG people are manipulating the stock market. This is an all hands on deck scenario. First they came for the hedge funds...

Dan Szymborski

12:43

Pretty much.

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