JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 1/28/21

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Dan Szymborski

12:25

Paxton for sure. Maybe Joc

Appa Yip Yip

12:25

The Jays and Mets making a trade this year is offseasonception. What do you think of Matz? Seems like a weird target for the Jays.

Dan Szymborski

12:25

The Jays could use the depth

resumeman

12:26

What do you think of Luis Arraez? Think he'll be a solid bat?

Dan Szymborski

12:26

Yes. He's a better player than Polanco

Dagin

12:26

After the Mets moved off of Matz last night in the trade with the Jays, I’m starting to think it was to move some money around for a potential Bauer deal and keep them under the luxury tax. Thoughts?

Dan Szymborski

12:26

Seems a likely scenario

Zach

12:26

Opinion on retail brokers halting trade for certain stocks?

Dan Szymborski

12:27

From a *do I like it* standpoint, I don't. If it had been a few billionaire techbros causing this instead of redditors, I don't think they do it.

But from a *are they entitled to do it* standpoint, there's no reason to object.

12:28

I can speak ill of the consistency of twitter's policy enforcement without denying they have a fundamental right to police in an unfair manner.

Dan Szymborsnowboard

12:28

How much does Zips use statcast for hitting & pitching? Any adjustments to account for the weird 20 in the 21 projections?

Dan Szymborski

12:28

ZiPS uses statcast data to better set a baseline

12:29

as for 20, the main adjustment is that the results are likely to be worse

Nate

12:29

Do you expect O'Day's production to be roughly similar to Ottavino's?

Dan Szymborski

12:29

Probably

but they're relievers so they're volatile!

12:30

What do you make of the potential Amed Rosario-to-Reds conversation? His juxtaposed combo of prospect pedigree, mostly subpar play, and entry into the arb system makes for very odd considerations of his trade value

Dan Szymborski

12:30

I mean, it's fine, but not sure why the Reds bother if they're so determined to dump more of their starters and maybe Suarez

12:31

It's a bit like selling your car to buy a garage

MiLB Devolution

12:31

What happens if you go to a vegan restaurant and they have chile on the menu?

Dan Szymborski

12:31

WAIT WHY AM I AT THIS RESTAURANT

Guest

12:31

Why do some equate "wanting to win" with "overpaying free agents"?

Dan Szymborski

12:31

Because at some point, it's the only practical way to improve

Make the Phillies win 92 games without signing anyone

12:32

I'll hang on the line.

Nate

12:32

Any reason you stopped doing the tv songs? I was hoping for step by step...

Dan Szymborski

12:32

No reason really. The joke was probably less amusing to you guys and there was a holiday layoff

Carl

12:32

Given that they are combined on the Depth Charts on here, what do you think about the Steamer projection system, and the ways they differ from ZiPS? I've seen their pitching projections project my entire teams staff to be worse (in most cases significantly so) than their career numbers, for three years straight now, for example. Would seem to me they regress players to the mean harder than most other systems, or is it something else to it?

Dan Szymborski

12:33

It's a really hard question to answer because I *don't* run Steamer, so I can't authoritatively talk about how it works.

But it's a fine projection system!

Hell, according to at least one person, I can't even authoritatively talk about MY projection system!

12:34

Mad Joe-Don

12:34

I'm updating your wikipedia page now. Not to spoil anything but I think someone will enjoy the sandwich section.

Dan Szymborski

12:34

oh lord, maybe i should not have posted that question!

Barrett

12:35

Dan, if $NOK doesn't go to the moon, can I work for you?

Dan Szymborski

12:35

Wait, are the redditors going nokia now?

blackcoffee

12:35

Are writers too critical of front offices? It's pretty easy to write an article while sitting at your desk saying so and so team should sign this guy or whatever when in reality it's MUCH more complicated than that. Or am I misguided and it's mostly owners that they're critical of.

Dan Szymborski

12:35

I don't know generally. Some writers I'd say aren't critical enough.

12:36

In my case, it's my job to be critical

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