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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 1/3/18
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AvatarDan Szymborski
3:01
Most guys like Roberto Clemente in his mid-20s don't become Roberto Clemente in his late 20s or 30s.
John
3:02
Some of us Padre fans may come across a little aggressive, but I wanted to let you know I truly enjoy your your work, tweets and chat. Nothing wrong with stirring the pot, keep up the good work.
AvatarDan Szymborski
3:02
I'd be bored if people didn't get mad at me.
My name is Judge...
3:02
do you ever pick extra questions from a user because of their handle name?
AvatarDan Szymborski
3:02
I try not to.
Dan
3:02
Do you accept flowers or marriage proposals?
AvatarDan Szymborski
3:02
Yuck.
3:03
I don't like flowers because I'm not into decoration and since I don't know all the names of the flowers, it's hard for me to figure out what is and isn't poisonous to cats
And I'm trying hard to avoid marriage
Dan
3:03
It feels like zips is being more aggressive with RPs and SPs this year. Am I wrong? Lots and lots of mid 80s FIP- RPs and 106 or better SPs?

Also, if you were Derek Jeter, would you eat yourself?
AvatarDan Szymborski
3:03
No real changes here that would affect that.
I'm not sure how to answer the second one.
My name is Judge...
3:03
can i nominate you to be the official teacher of Oregonians in learning how to pump their own gas?  PEOPLE ARE GOING TO DIE!!!!!
AvatarDan Szymborski
3:03
I'm still laughing about that
Eminor3rd
3:03
Carlos Mario Manzeppi lol
Matt
3:04
Serious question about projections (and ZiPS). Just for the LULz, I ran a simple linear regression on ZiPS 2017 OPS, and 2017 actuals (for 100+ actual PAs). I got a .3 adj r-square. I understand that this is actually pretty good, and that the environment might be changing a bit ahead of ZiPS adjustments, but none the less, it was a bit lower than I expected. What do you consider a "successful" comparison to actuals. Do you consider one, or does the focus on "true talent means" make comparing to actuals a non-thing? (Hope this doesn't come off as me challenging your system).
AvatarDan Szymborski
3:04
The error ranges are massive!
Put it this way:  ZiPS has a 2.5% projection for Hosmer being WORTH $200 million over the next 6 years.
Bob Villar
3:04
Best WWE star who's gotten the least amount of push, currently?  my vote is for Cesaro.
AvatarDan Szymborski
3:04
Not a bad choice
very sad man
3:04
I just had my entire big mac meal fall on the floor. Is there anyway to salvage today?
AvatarDan Szymborski
3:05
No, just sadness.  I know that pain too much.
3:06
B_Don
3:06
Where are these comps mentioned?
AvatarDan Szymborski
3:07
Stole them from the ZiPS guy
And on that note, I'm really late.
I'm supposed to run pick up my mom's car from the shop.
No, I'm not sure how that became my problem, either.
3:08
But I have to go bring her her car if I'm going to get my car returned.
Thanks for coming everyone!
3:09
As a reminder, you can find my work at ESPN.com, chats and projections here at FanGraphs, and at DSzymborski on Twitter.  Also my book in your local bookstore  if I ever get around to writing one.
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