JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 11/12/18

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 11/12/18

powered by

Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page

Dan Szymborski

12:43

I don't think it was unreasonable. They weren't acquiring a franchise player, they were acquiring Two Months of a franchise player.

The Dodgers gave a solid package for Machado, but it wasn't an earth-shattering one.

and Machado had a better season than Harper

Silver Slugger Nick Markakis

12:44

Let's the say the Angels remain in wild card contention for the whole year. Ohtani hits his projection. In August, the doctors clear him to pitch rehab. Do the Angels wait until after the season or is his long-term value as a pitcher too much to delay it?

Dan Szymborski

12:44

I think the Angels push him.

Dustin

12:44

Keith Law recently said that the Mets would have an above-the-median farm system heading into next season, and a "good chance" (direct quote) at top 10. Agree or disagree? Are you more or less optimistic?

Dan Szymborski

12:44

I'd put myself about that same tier for the Mets.

12:45

It doesn't have the super duper elite guy like Acuña or anything, but they've got a lot of guys you could put in 50-100

12:46

See, what makes the Mets amusing isn't that they're some super-incompetent franchise at all times

It's that they have their fits of super-incompetency at the most hilarious possible moments.

CamdenWarehouse

12:47

Do the Orioles have a front office by Thanksgiving? I can't believe I'm asking that

laughing

1

Dan Szymborski

12:47

If you're not doing anything all winter, you can save months of salaries by waiting!

laughing

1

stever20

12:47

what do you make of the Dodgers thoughts on not going over the tax threshold? Do you think that's real? If so, how do you think it will impact them competitively going forward?

Dan Szymborski

12:47

I think right now it's posturing

avs18fan

12:47

Hi Dan - Does your ZiPS projections for next year like the Cardinals more than Steamer does?

Dan Szymborski

12:48

I'm still in prelim mode. There's a *lot* of data to sift through.

Bill James

12:48

Can I get in line to be berated

Dan Szymborski

12:50

Poor Bill. I disagree with him strongly on this issue, but it really just seems like he said something off-the-cuff without giving the consequences enough thought and then stubbornly tried to defend himself rather than just let everything blow over.

I think the outrage has *long* surpassed the crime. So I've stayed out of piling on as it's no fun if everyone's already flooding with the same tired bromides. Complaining isn't fun or productive if it's unoriginal

12:51

Though I do think it's rich seeing the MLBPA complain about James not consider players like people.

Given how the MLBPA has repeatedly thrown the poorest baseball players under the bus in CBAs.

12:52

Sure, they have no legal responsibility to protect 17-year-old Dominican amateurs, but on a moral level, when you're trading money for them for perks for yourself, you've got no leg to stand on with the moral preening.

ZiPS question

12:52

You've alluded to in the past that ZiPS has an "estimated" BABIP for batters in past seasons. I'm curious as to what sorts of data you use for the estimation of the BABIP and which parts are most "sticky" going forward

Dan Szymborski

12:52

ZiPS has an xBABIP-like model. I have multiple versions, depending on what data are available.

Stann

12:53

Aaron Judge is 6'10", 340 lbs. Thoughts?

Dan Szymborski

12:53

Maybe in wrestling weight.

Brian CashGod

12:53

Yankees are reportedly conducting "extensive background research" on Manny Machado - what do you expect them to find?

Dan Szymborski

12:53

I think the point of extensive background research is to find the things you DON'T expect to find.

laughing

1

Brian CashGod

12:53

the Machado question isn't meant to be serious, in case that didn't come through :D

mike

12:54

subscribe to numlock news.....

Dan Szymborski

12:54

Ah, Hickey's one, I forgot about that. I like him

Trainman

12:54

If Washington ownership allowed Harper to be dealt to houston, do the Astros repeat? Or the Red Sox just too good?

Dan Szymborski

12:54

Pretty impossible to nose.

know

I typed nose for know?

love

2

A cat

12:55

How many teams would you guess employ an Opener for one-two rotation spots next season?

Dan Szymborski

12:55

Rays? :-D

D

12:55

Are you surprised by Steamer's optimism for Harper (4.9 WAR projection)? Or do you think ZiPs will be similarly sanguine?

Dan Szymborski

12:55

Doesn't smell that far off.

Dan Fan

12:55

Chances Dodgers trade Seager (0-100)?

Connecting…

Register

Message History

On Off

On Off

On Off

Your current subscriptions

None

Register now to continue managing your subscriptions

E-mail Address	Chat Owner	Status	Remove

Enter your email address to be notified when Dan Szymborski hosts a chat