JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 11/12/18

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 11/12/18

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Lucy

12:33

Do the suddenly short-of-cash Cubs and the suddenly selling off Mariners match up? Cubs looking to add a "versatile position player". Does a Dee Gordon-Tyler Chatwood make a sensible (albeit uninspiring) swap. Same years & dollars. Chatwood aint going to Des Moines & would take up a valuable BP spot.

Dan Szymborski

12:33

I don't think the Cubs are actually short of dollars.

James

12:33

What is your favorite terrible star trek episode?

Dan Szymborski

12:34

I'm not sure which one. Probably one of the Ferengi episodes from DS9

12:35

Maybe that episode where they accidentally kill the Vorta guy and have to reanimate his corpse for a hostage trade and the whole thing is played for comedy.

Oops, forgot I was supposed to save this.

laughing

1

LFC Mike

12:35

When we get to the Lightning Round please take on the persona of your alltime favorite game host please.

love

1

Dan Szymborski

12:36

I'm not sure how to be Richard Dawson in ch at

pat

12:36

would frazier, king, loaisiga, garcia, and sauer be enough for paxton?

Dan Szymborski

12:36

Yes

Luigi

12:36

So is that it for job postings 🙄 I see nothing else anywhere. Gonna be quite the battle for a job this year

Dan Szymborski

12:36

We have a regular flow of postings!

Jeries

12:36

Where is Moncada starting in 2020. CF, 3B, or 2B?

Dan Szymborski

12:36

2B

Silver Slugger Nick Markakis

12:36

Did Joe Mauer play enough catcher to get serious HOF consideration? Or did his last act as an overpaid mediocre 1B doom him?

Dan Szymborski

12:37

I don't think he played enough C to get consideration

crying

1

*I* think his peak is enough and *I* woudl vote for h im.

12:38

But the average voter isn't me or Jay,

And peak value as a thing is essentially dead with BBWAA votes right now.

Johan Santana's peak was like 90% Koufax and he got pretty much ZERO play

cool

2

Bill James

12:38

You’re replaceable, Dan!

Dan Szymborski

12:38

I am!

Outta my way, Gyorkass

12:39

Steamer's out again, and it's another year of really poor projections for the Brewers.

I don't know how they again are forecasting MIL for 78 wins (if my math is right: 48 win baseline, 19.6 WAR offense, 10.4 WAR pitching staff) - is that a system simply slow to react to modern pitching usage that Counsell did very well in 2018?

Dan Szymborski

12:39

You gotta ask Jared and gang about that!

Remember, I only know how ZiPS works. My opinions on how Steamer does things is guesswork.

And I'd be the last person they share secret sauces with

Boo Radley

12:40

Omar Narvaez finished 8th in WAR among catchers with far fewer plate appearances than the top guys.

Do the Sox have something there or was this a fluke?

Dan Szymborski

12:40

I'm not sold on him yet, but again, like the Royals and O'Hearn, the team is in a position to find out

Silver Slugger Nick Markakis

12:40

How will the Padres screw this up?

Dan Szymborski

12:41

Good god, I'm only up to 12:11 answering half the questions.

Time to lower that ratio :-(

Ryan

12:41

Is Manny Margot a viable Major Leaguer or will the bat always hold him back?

Dan Szymborski

12:41

I think he'll be fine, though he'll have to hit more to have real upside.

Ryan

12:41

Higher long term value: Hunter Renfroe or Franmil Reyes?

Dan Szymborski

12:41

Renfroe may be a little safer, but Reyes has much higher upside, I feel

Outta my way, Gyorkass

12:41

"Kris Bryant available for trade": hot air, or real strategy?

Dan Szymborski

12:41

The truth is *everybody* is available for trade

12:42

It's not like someone calls the Yankees and inquires about Severino and Cashman yells HOW DAR YOU YOU'RE NOT MY REAL DAD YOU DON'T UNDERSTAND ME OR MY MUSIC and hangs up on them. People are always talking.

And sometimes, a trade that nobody would expect happens actually happens.

D

12:43

Does the rumored package for Harper sound insanely light? Seems like you'd need a Torres or an E-Rod type in there to get what could possibly be a franchise player.

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