JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 12/12/24

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Dan Szymborski

12:02

What time is it? CHAT TIME

Gilbrough@yahoo.com

12:03

If the Mariners do get Sasaki does trading Castillo for Triston Casas makes sense. Do you think they can make a 1 for 1 trade or will they need to add someone like Tyler Locklear to even this out.

Dan Szymborski

12:03

If I were the Mariners, I'd be extremely underwhelmed by Casas as the return for Castillo

Jon G

12:04

Is a Paredes + prospects package for Tucker really worth it for the Cubs considering their lack of proven 3B options and Tucker being unlikely to agree to an extension?

Dan Szymborski

12:04

I think it could be. Though it depends on the prospects.

I would imagine there'd be more moves going along with this one

Joe

12:04

What sort of extension would ZiPS offer Crochet?

Dan Szymborski

12:04

7/211!

12:05

(I actually ran this yesterday)

Phil

12:05

So, this isn't necessarily a judgment on the trade, but. . . what on earth do the Red Sox do at catcher now that Teel is gone? Are they really content with Connor Wong long term?

Dan Szymborski

12:05

I suspect that in the short-term, they get one of the spare part catchers hanging around to go with Wong, and the next long-term catcher isn't yet in the organization

wheelhouse

12:05

max fried: huge overpay, or massive overpay?

Dan Szymborski

12:05

I'll say overpay, but not to the degree that ZiPS thinks

Phil

12:05

I really like that you've built JAWS into WAR. You and Jay are the respective regents of future and past, so if you work together you govern all of time (except present, which is Clemens's beat).

Dan Szymborski

12:07

So we're...uh...Nozdormu?

Wyatt

12:07

This crop of prospects looks fairly weak up top. Does ZiPs agree?

Dan Szymborski

12:07

Generally yes; there are fewer potential phenom guys, at leas tin ZiPS

12:07

Right handed first baseman need to stop standing with their left foot on the bag on throws from the catcher. Mobility on a throw should take precedent to your shoulder positioning.

equist

12:08

Annie Dillard or Anne Lemont?

Dan Szymborski

12:09

I read Pilgrim at Tinker Creek like 15 years ago but I don't believe I' know the name Lemont

12:10

Bellinger, Christian Walker, Bregman and Fried > Soto?

Dan Szymborski

12:10

Maybe? But I'm not sure they're cheaper that Soto

iin fact, I'm rpetty sure they'r enot

Chan

12:10

From an outsider perspective, thoughts on the Marlins approach last couple years? From a playoff run (maybe flukey) to a poor season to now the offseason of flipping major league assets.

Dan Szymborski

12:10

Well, it's a poor one I think

Jon

12:10

Omg Dan I haven't made your chats for weeks I have so much to tell you

Dan Szymborski

12:11

Thanksgiving was last week and I was behind on some work the week before, so you didn't miss any for a few weeks!

Errr flip those

Jon

12:11

Really? Casas is awesome and cheap

Dan Szymborski

12:11

I'm not calling a 1B/DH awesome unless they slug .500 or at least have a high OBP

Thank you for the chat!

12:11

Does Candelario for Stroman make sense for both teams?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

Maybe, in an awkward way?

Smiling Politely

12:12

I was reviewing Soto's projections for inspiration (imagine a 40 year old batting 15% better than the league, lol), but also curious how you compute OPS+ for 2040--how does norming work for the future?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

I extend the assumption of league offense

Obviously, I have no basis for identifying future league performance

Luis Gil

12:12

Are the yankees seriously floating him and is he enough to get Tucker on his own?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

On his own? I'm not sure. I don't think that's the big need for the Astros

Thank you for the chat!

12:13