JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 12/9/21

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Dan Szymborski

1:00

Not much

But it could help subtly

Mose Allison Brie Larson

1:01

How are your cats dealing with the lockout?

Dan Szymborski

1:01

They're locked in!

Gorman

1:01

Are the players correct in thinking that some teams will further lower their payroll limit because of expanded playoffs? That's the holdup? This is one issue that the MLBPA doesn't look so good on. Really bad teams adding several million to their payrolls probably wont swing the playoff odds too much. Just agree to the expansion and focus on the other issues, imo.

Dan Szymborski

1:01

It's not the short-term factors

It's the long-term one.

The more random ultimate success is, the less you pay for talent.

1:02

And I know the MLBPA is aware of this

And the more random ultimate success is, the less valuable the ultimate success actually becomes.

1:03

If the World Series is seen even as more of a who cares crapshoot

Then why would teams care THAT much even about making it?

It's the WWE Title Problem.

1:04

A long time ago, the WWE got the idea that since title storylines were popular, they just needed to make a crapload of titles.

But the ultimate effect was that title storylines no longer sell.

Dan R

1:04

Hi Dan, while I totally agree with your Zips projections for the Giants (and see a lot of regression), what will you do if they win 100+ games again?

Dan Szymborski

1:04

Cry?

Steve O

1:04

The Rays do get money for playoff games though, right? And I'm sure they still make a ton of money otherwise their owner would just sell the team.

Dan Szymborski

1:04

They get SOME money, but they're not rewarded as much as a win costs

Jeremy

1:05

The late Doug Pappas wrote about market-size revenue sharing almost 20 years ago. From one of his pieces: compare the St. Louis Cardinals and the Philadelphia Phillies.
Though both play in 30-year-old stadia, the Redbirds generated $50 million
more in local revenue despite playing in a market less than half the size of
Philadelphia. For their trouble, the Cardinals paid more than $8 million
into the revenue sharing pool, while the Phillies collected almost $12
million.

Dan Szymborski

1:05

Still miss Doug

1:06

It was SUCH a shock to the baseball nerd community at the time. Doug was relatively young (in his early 40s) and of good health.

1:07

http://roadsidephotos.sabr.org/baseball/

He was on vacation at Big Bend national park and died of heat stroke

Inaccessible Rail

1:07

I remember Scipio Spinks. Am I the only Fangraphs reader old enough to remember him?

Dan Szymborski

1:07

No, I'm sure some do

brad penny for your thoughts

1:08

when is my teams zips coming out

Dan Szymborski

1:08

Even *I* don't know the full ZiPS schedule.

1:11

1:12

I only change the text to black for the next team

simmyball

1:12

Tiger finish ___ in the AL Central

Dan Szymborski

1:12

I'm gonna go out there. 2nd

Dave

1:12

What video games have you been playing?

Dan Szymborski

1:12

Hearthstone, been on a Total War Warhammer II jag, Final Fantasy V Pixel Remaster

1:13

TRYING to play Final Fantasy XIV, but the servers have been a dumpster fire

Chris

1:13

Mariners should trade cash relief for hosmer and morejon

Tiger Fan

1:13

I missed them because FG shows most popular at the top thanks. Kind of embarrassing.

Dan Szymborski

1:13

I once tore my boxer shorts so dramatically while hiking that they actually fell out of my shorts when I was in line at Royal Farms

that was wasy worse!

Mark

1:13

I know there’s no way to really know, but how much do you imagine the average owner pulls in personally each year?

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