JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 2/12/26

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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 2/12/26

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Dan Szymborski

12:49

A neighbor's dog once did get in my house back when I lived in PA. It was scared of Galileo and barked in Galileo's face, while Galileo just sat there staring wtih the confidence of a serial killer

12:50

I suspect Cassie would be hostile

Justinian would probably hide for a few minutes before being brave

12:51

and Constantine would just sit there

I have two new kittens and Justinian met them with no problems. Constantine completely ignroed them because he saw kitten food to steal

DEF

12:51

Will Diamond Mind be using your projections again this year? If so, any idea on timing?

Dan Szymborski

12:51

Yes, and no idea

Guest

12:51

If you want to skip jury duty you need to make snap judgments and be obviously biased

Dan Szymborski

12:52

See, I joke about getting out of jury duty

but I just couldn't make myself do that out of the principle

12:53

and I was really annoyed. I got a deferral because my first summons was for Opening Day and then I got the one you could get out of only for cause and it was the first round of the playoffs

But I didn't intentionally try to act in any manner in which I thought I"d be more likely to get dismissed

12:54

because when push comes to shove, I go with the principle, even if it's a dumb principle that only I hold

I can be fairly rigid about this stuff sometimes

12:55

It might be from my family - I was very close with my grandfather who was a lawyer and had a very similar personality to me

We actually have a family policy of no ransoms ever. Which is a weird thing to hear when you're five

12:56

If my grandfather had to choose which family member he could rescue from a burning building and everyone was equally rescue-able, with no pondering, he'd have taken the logical choice and rescued who he believes has the most life expectancy remaining

Look At This Sotograph

12:56

If there was an OnlyFanGraphs site, what would it be?

Dan Szymborski

12:57

I would assume videos of me that nobody wants to see

kevin

12:57

No trevor rogers in the gainers article? how

Dan Szymborski

12:57

relievers just don't have that much WAR to add

errr

I thought that was tyler

12:58

ZiPS is still fairly conservative with TREVOR rogers

it projected a 2026 ERA+ of 94 before last season and 105 now

Guest

12:58

Victor Robles was a scouting miss in 2019. I started feeling queasy about him when his exit velocity numbers were found to be horribly low. Did zips have him high and was exit velocity part of the the analysis then? If not, what would his reranking be if you knew?

Dan Szymborski

12:58

I think ZiPS had him fairly high, lemme check

12:59

crap, 2019 was the year I didn't do a top 100

but it had him *3* in 2018

Player PO Team ZiPS Ronald Acuña CF Atlanta Braves 1 Fernando Tatis Jr. SS San Diego Padres 2 Victor Robles CF Washington Nationals 3 J.P. Crawford SS Philadelphia Phillies 4 Luis Urias SS San Diego Padres 5 Gleyber Torres SS New York Yankees 6 Luiz Gohara SP Atlanta Braves 7 Kyle Tucker CF Houston Astros 8 Eloy Jimenez RF Chicago White Sox 9 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 3B Toronto Blue Jays 10 Jack Flaherty SP St. Louis Cardinals 11 Mackenzie Gore SP San Diego Padres 12 Brent Honeywell SP Tampa Bay Rays 13 Mike Soroka SP Atlanta Braves 14 Brendan Rodgers SS Colorado Rockies 15 Michael Kopech SP Chicago White Sox 16 Nick Senzel 3B Cincinnati Reds 17 Aramis Ademan SS Chicago Cubs 18 Austin Hays CF Baltimore Orioles 19 Willy Adames SS Tampa Bay Rays 20 Brandon Woodruff SP Milwaukee Brewers 21 Forrest Whitley SP Houston Astros 22 Carson Kelly C St. Louis Cardinals 23 Alex Reyes SP St. Louis Cardinals 24 Yu-Cheng Chang SS Cleveland Indians 25 Corbin Burnes SP Mil

1:00

Corbin Burnes SP Milwaukee Brewers 26 Austin Riley 3B Atlanta Braves 27 Austin Meadows CF Pittsburgh Pirates 28 Jon Duplantier SP Arizona Diamondbacks 29 Alec Hansen SP Chicago White Sox 30 Monte Harrison CF Milwaukee Brewers 31 Tyler Mahle SP Cincinnati Reds 32 Scott Kingery 2B Philadelphia Phillies 33 Willie Calhoun LF Texas Rangers 34 Sixto Sanchez SP Philadelphia Phillies 35 Royce Lewis SS Minnesota Twins 36 Francisco Mejia C Cleveland Indians 37 Logan Allen SP San Diego Padres 38 Walker Buehler SP Los Angeles Dodgers 39 Nick Gordon SS Minnesota Twins 40 Chance Adams SP New York Yankees 41 Franklin Barreto SS Oakland Athletics 42 Joey Wentz SP Atlanta Braves 43 Tyler O'Neill LF St. Louis Cardinals 44 JoJo Romero SP Philadelphia Phillies 45 Michael Chavis 3B Boston Red Sox 46 Luis Robert CF Chicago White Sox 47 Ryan Castellani SP Colorado Rockies 48 Marcos Molina SP New York Mets 49 Cole Tucker SS Pittsburgh Pirates 50 Estevan Florial CF New York Yank

Estevan Florial CF New York Yankees 51 Bryse Wilson SP Arizona Diamondbacks 52 Jesse Winker RF Cincinnati Reds 53 Triston McKenzie SP Cleveland Indians 54 Jesus Sanchez LF Tampa Bay Rays 55 Jake Bauers LF Tampa Bay Rays 56 Lewis Brinson CF Milwaukee Brewers 57 Kolby Allard SP Atlanta Braves 58 Brett Phillips CF Milwaukee Brewers 59 Keibert Ruiz C Los Angeles Dodgers 60 Jahmai Jones CF Los Angeles Angels 61 Heliot Ramos CF San Francisco Giants 62 Jo Adell DH Los Angeles Angels 63 Jhailyn Ortiz RF Philadelphia Phillies 64 Stephen Gonsalves SP Minnesota Twins 65 Ryan McMahon 1B Colorado Rockies 66 Sean Murphy C Oakland Athletics 67 Alex Verdugo CF Los Angeles Dodgers 68 Brian Anderson 3B Miami Marlins 69 Bo Bichette SS Toronto Blue Jays 70 Chris Rodriguez SP Los Angeles Angels 71 Mauricio Dubon SS Milwaukee Brewers 72 Juan Soto RF Washington Nationals 73 Anthony Alford CF Toronto Blue Jays 74 Yadier Alvarez SP Los Angeles Dodgers 75 Kyle Wright SP Atlanta B

Kyle Wright SP Atlanta Braves 76 Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B Pittsburgh Pirates 77 Mitch Keller SP Pittsburgh Pirates 78 Miguel Andujar 3B New York Yankees 79 Justin Williams RF Tampa Bay Rays 80 Jake Rogers C Detroit Tigers 81 Beau Burrows SP Detroit Tigers 82 Bobby Bradley 1B Cleveland Indians 83 Harrison Bader CF St. Louis Cardinals 84 Tanner Scott SP Baltimore Orioles 85 Kevin Newman SS Pittsburgh Pirates 86 Jay Groome SP Boston Red Sox 87 Zack Collins C Chicago White Sox 88 Domingo Leyba SS Arizona Diamondbacks 89 Garrett Hampson 2B Colorado Rockies 90 Anthony Banda SP Arizona Diamondbacks 91 Colin Moran 3B Pittsburgh Pirates 92 Taylor Ward C Los Angeles Angels 93 Taylor Trammell LF Cincinnati Reds 94 Dillon Peters SP Miami Marlins 95 A.J. Puk SP Oakland Athletics 96 Keston Hiura 2B Tampa Bay Rays 97 Nicky Lopez SS Kansas City Royals 98 Peter Alonso 1B New York Mets 99 Zack Burdi RP Chicago White Sox 100

Paddy

1:00

How do ZiPS and other systems project playing time? For example, did the Santander injury impact Addison Barger's projection?

Dan Szymborski

1:00

Badly! ZiPS isn't aware of current events in that way. I have to make the decision on what to pick when I simulate the season

souldougie

1:01

What would be your old-timey baseball nickname if you were a player in the dead ball era?

Dan Szymborski

1:01

I think the Digital Dandy moniker would work

Oxface

1:01

Any thoughts on the proposed FG membership tier that allows the reader to hang out with your cats?

Dan Szymborski

1:01

I'm not sure how big a market there is!

Idiotic Failson

1:01

The banner at the top of the website said you were chatting. Then, when I clicked on it, you were indeed chatting. Just as intended.

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