JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 2/17/22

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171

12:36

Can't help but believe that MLB wants to contract MiLB to ultimately reduce the quality of talent at the MLB level so that top college players can go almost straight to MLB after the draft and teams can essentially run 1 MiLB facility.

Dan Szymborski

12:36

I would not be surprised if this is the long term goal

Ben

12:36

Leaving aside his hits record, do you think anyone ever matches Pete Rose's 12 consecutive 700 plate appearance seasons? Semien and Merrifield were the only 2 players in all of MLB to reach 700 PAs in 2021, although they each did it in 2018 and 2019 as well.

Dan Szymborski

12:36

Probably not

Jfast

12:37

Who is currently on the best value contract, according to ZiPS? Bregman? Franco?

Dan Szymborski

12:37

Might be Albies

Breezy

12:37

When you go to run a specific projection, do you do the Tom Hanks move in You've Got Mail where you rub your hands excitedly and slowly press your finger to the keyboard?

Dan Szymborski

12:37

unfortunately, it's a two key combo.

12:39

what I should do is buy one of those kailh MONSTER switches and tie it to running ZiPS

Guest

12:39

dan! its midday! afterlife musing are allowed by we cant say "DanTime"?

Brian

12:39

What team breaks consistently breaks ZIPS the most? What current player?

Dan Szymborski

12:40

Nobody consistently does that. Unfortunately. After all, it would likely provide an opportunity to get real improvement from calibration

12:41

Now, the team that HAS missed by the most is the Astros (ZiPS has underrated) and Cubs (ZiPS has overrated)

but misses are, sadly, not correlated

Appa Yip Yip

12:41

I want to obsessively esper train my team until the game is laughably easy and I x-magic Ultima everything into oblivion

Dan Szymborski

12:42

I don't always do the whole Gogo copying Ultima thing

but I DO at least do a lot of esper training in that desert area that has the zombie dragon thing

and get all the cahracters

12:43

oh god, I gotta finish V pixel remaster because VI comes out next week!

Tim Tebow's Thunder Thighs

12:43

One last chili question since I'm kind of on fire today: Do you eat your chili with tortilla chips/Fritos? If so, would you be defiling the chili if you were to use bean tortilla chips?

Dan Szymborski

12:43

No. No as long as it's not PA$RT of the chili

San Dzymborski

12:43

In your opinion, would Griffey have broken the home run record if he took steroids? More power + decreased injury risk has to carry him to at least 700, right?

Dan Szymborski

12:43

I don't really have a way to quantify that

12:44

The effect of steroid suspensions as a dummy variable in projections is about worthless

JakeDuBois

12:44

Well, I imagine ZiPS doesn't take trash cans and buzzers as part of its formula, so that can be forgiven

Dan Szymborski

12:44

this graphic I made for a tshirt is some of my finest work

Guest

12:44

It had to be done.

Dan Szymborski

12:45

WTH font are you using?

brad penny for your thoughts

12:45

are StL zips the most boring?

Dan Szymborski

12:45

Usually yes

Breezy

12:45

Bucket list of things you want to see happen at a game firsthand?

Dan Szymborski

12:45

I want to see a perfect game in person

12:46

and baseball related, on my bucket list is for me to exclaim "sweet sassy molassey!" but it not be planned, just completely organic because something happened that meant that it was the only thing one *could* say

Richard

12:46

If 100% of the CBT penalties were given to the players to do as they see fit, could that move the needle substantially towards a deal without actually changing the thresholds?

Dan Szymborski

12:46

Becuase the CBT penalties still dissuade owners

Waylon's Slacks

12:46

Who's better over the next 5 years: Jazz Chisholm or Jonathan India?

Dan Szymborski

12:46

India

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