JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat 2/20/25

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat 2/20/25

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Dan Szymborski

1:09

I'd definitely like to have been a fly on the wall and see what discussions are

Guest

1:09

Have you ever compared ZIPS projections against real world numbers and if so, how were the results?

Dan Szymborski

1:09

All the time!

1:10

Hey, rightclicking an image in Twitter actually goes to the image now, not the tweet!

Guest

1:11

I have uncovered that a large number of the baseball players in your database are actually over 100 years old. Some are even 150 years old. You guys better tighten things up

Big Fan

1:11

You said earlier that ZiPS becomes less useful the farther down you go. Could you do a ZiPs Top 5 Prospect by team?

Dan Szymborski

1:11

I COULD. I might do top 200 last year since so many people want them

Guest

1:11

Nolan Ryan pitched 332 innings of sub 3 ERA and FIP in 1974 but is only credited with 6.3 WAR. What gives?

Dan Szymborski

1:12

remember, 1974 was a 3.63 FIP league

1:13

And Angels Stadium was a pitchers park in that era

https://www.fangraphs.com/guts.aspx?type=pf&season=1974&teamid=0&sort=...

Guest

1:14

Why are pulled barrels better than sprayed barrels? Isn't the point of a barrel that it's the same EV and angle regardless? I heard this from Eno

Dan Szymborski

1:14

I erally have to see the context

Buldak

1:14

Ever played OOTP?

Dan Szymborski

1:14

Yes'

1:15

And they build the ratings off the ZiPS projections!

1:15

Is there any benefit to Bluesky or is it just a political preference?

Dan Szymborski

1:15

I use both Twitter and Bluesky

1:16

I'm hoping all the left-wingers and right-wingers sort themselves out among Blue Sky and Twitter efficiently to make it easier to ignore

mmddyyyy

1:16

How do you communicate with the other Fangraphs folks?

Dan Szymborski

1:16

The same way most people do?

I don't do telepathy

John

1:16

Really like the Nats Soroka signing thinking it could be the 25 version of Sale,R Lopez thoughts?

Dan Szymborski

1:16

Meh

1:17

But if it is, you can come back here and crow about it for sure!

Guest

1:17

So the Nolan Ryan this is just because relative to his piers it wasn't as impressive as it would be today?

Dan Szymborski

1:17

It was just a lower offensive environment

Alan

1:17

I was surprised to not see JJ Wetherholt in the ZiPS 100. He seems to be a consensus top 50-ish propspect across rankings. What does your computer see differently?

Dan Szymborski

1:17

Guys with little professional experience take a big hit in projections

1:18

ZiPS was unusually positive last year about Langford

Crews took a big similar hit last year

1:18

The Orioles are spending $75M this year on their bench, 4/5 starters, three middle relievers, and AAA depth. I don't know what to say, it's just so dumb compared after being too poor to keep Burnes or Santander or extend literally anyone

Dan Szymborski

1:18

I would not have kept Santander, but I sure woudl have gone after Burnes

Bob Loblaw

1:18

FYI - The new Adam Sandler movie "Spaceman" is absolutely terrible. Do not waste your time.

Guest

1:19

Nolan Ryan: Yeah, but the innings

Dan Szymborski

1:19

WAR takes into consideration innings

Jordan

1:19

Could MLB or the other owners ever force or "convince" Bob Nutting to sell the Pirates? He's always been cheap and unpopular, but it feels like both have reached new heights, especially given the talent on the roster.

Dan Szymborski

1:19

I mean they COULD but they won't

1:20

Even Wilpons weren't actually forced by MLB

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