JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 2/8/24

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 2/8/24

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Dan Szymborski

12:22

I THINK I can capture depth better than our FG generalized model

Which I should, because mine is a nightmare to set up that takes forever

and the FG methodology is made so that it can run any time Jason makes any change on the depth charts

Zach

12:26

I'm curious how ZiPS handles predictions for players like DeGrom and Scherzer, where there is both a wide range of possible outcomes for IP this year and presumably a wide range of potential performance level, and (I think) relatively little historic precedent.

Dan Szymborski

12:26

I mean, there's a lot of data in there about injured pitchers

But ZiPS will mostly confirm that it's horribly uncertain

Gold Star

12:26

How do you think Lux will do at SS for the Dodgers this season? Relatedly, is he LA's starter there in the postseason?

Dan Szymborski

12:27

I think he'll be adequate, but not really one of the standouts. I mean you always have to temper expectations after an injury year, and I like Lux. But I don't think there are great candidates out there to replace him

Like would the Padres actually do a late season Kim trade to Dodgers? Not sure about that

TomBruno23

12:27

Taylor Swift announces The Eras movie streaming on Disney and stock up over 12% today. Sorry, right wing nut jobs.

Dan Szymborski

12:27

Maybe I'm just an old, but I don't get why people care so much about Swift either way

cool

1

12:28

She's a pop singer and has some popular albums. OK. So? And?

12:29

I also don't care who is dating who.

I just don't care about things that are either a) not my problem or b) not my business

Red Sox

12:30

Will you watch the Netflix doc about the 2024 Red Sox?

Dan Szymborski

12:30

Maybe, if people report it being interesting

I watch enough baseball and talk enough baseball and baseball news that if it's not really something novel, I don't need to add it

JDizzle

12:30

What's the meaning of life?

Dan Szymborski

12:31

Enjoying a very brief existence in a largely cold, dark universe in which that's a rarity

cool

1

JDizzle

12:31

Any way W Franco or T Bauer plays in the MLB this year?

Dan Szymborski

12:31

Franco could if there was some sudden development in the case that was favorable to him, but I don't know what that would be

As for Bauer, I think teams are extremely hesitant to get into that stuff

12:32

Especially since Bauer isn't a guy who is willing to be quiet and below the radar

Szymby

12:32

If Taylor Swift has swifties can I be a Szymbie?

Dan Szymborski

12:32

I'm not really big on fan culture, honestly

That's just a personal thing

12:33

Generally speaking, I base my life on things that amuse me, and praise doesn't really amuse me.

Insert Witty Name Here

12:33

re: Swift - it’s a corporate money scheme. People will pay lots of money for Swift related anything.

Dan Szymborski

12:33

I'm all for corporate money schemes.

12:34

As some of you may remember, to your chagrin, I'm a hardcore free market-er

If she wants ot make a billion dollars selling coins with her head on it, good for her

I just don't particularly *care* about it one way or the other

Not my circus, not my clowns

anxious Yankees fan

12:34

Which one of Cortes, Rodon, Stanton, or Rizzo do you think are most likely to return to form

Dan Szymborski

12:34

Cortes

Sad Angels Fan

12:34

Can the ZIPS machine compute whether the angels will ever make me happy again anytime this decade

Dan Szymborski

12:35

AGAIN? Have they made you happy recently? I'm suspicious of the veracity of that statement

nate

12:35

Will austin riley win an mvp

Dan Szymborski

12:35

He COULD, but he'll probably enter most seasons in his prime being like the 10th most likely

Joey Caltrain

12:35

Who would be the funniest baseball player for the Pentagon to use for psyops and why?

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