JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat 3/13/25

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat 3/13/25

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Dan Szymborski

12:55

It's not like I wear a shirt with my name on it.

(not an image of me)

appa yip yip

12:55

have you ever run a zips projection for what bonds' slash line would be if he stepped up to the plate today? can zips even regress age that high?

Dan Szymborski

12:56

I ran it semi-seriously for a few years after he stopped being signed, but ZiPS doesn't have anything useful to say about him at this point

I am the Apple

12:56

I know you’re doing a full ZiPS run right now cause you haven’t opened it up once for these questions. Busted Mr. Szymborski. Stop doing the job you’re paid to do and start giving out free information to the people.

Adenolith

12:56

Is there another projection system you find particularly interesting or innovative? Something you saw and thought, I wish I'd come up with that?

Dan Szymborski

12:56

It's not like everyone makes all the insides viewable!

12:57

I just try to focus on what I do and what I *can* do

RAGBRAI

12:57

Are 'true' closers going to be a thing of the past? Seems more and more teams are taking a by committee approach

Dan Szymborski

12:57

It's far from completely gone, but that's the long term trend

I think long term, the borders between starter and reliever become far more blurred

12:58

A world in which teams cared about win stats was kind of a buttress of the traditional roles

I wouldn't be surprised to find in 2040, that the majority of pitchers throw two to four innings per appeaerance

Bubbles

12:58

On Baseball Savant, you can export all pitches to a hitter for minor leaguers. This is useful because you can then calculate things like o-swong %, EV90, etc. Would it be possible for Fangraphs to show this data on minor league players? I plan on working on some Python scripts to generate this info when I have time.

Dan Szymborski

12:59

We have a ton of raw data available, it's just a question of the time and practicality

Fish

12:59

Say the Marlins (lol) get Tucker and Vladdy in free agency. Is that enough for them to contend next year?

Dan Szymborski

12:59

Pinstripes

12:59

Thanks for chatting.. I see the Yanks added C/3B Jesus Rodriguez to the 40 and he played a bit this spring. Will there be a projection for him?

Dan Szymborski

12:59

He ought to be on the final projections

There's a post-spring training run

1:00

taht uses spring training

PCA

1:00

What is SGP?

Dan Szymborski

1:00

standing gains points

basically, a framework that estimates the marginal value, in standings, from the addition of a particular player

Ceddy B Ready

1:00

My OOTP project for this year is to test the "stopper" method with every team to see if the 9th inning is more important than ending rallies before it's a problem. I haven't found a good way to measure this effect IRL.

Oaktown Blues

1:01

Was intrigued by your suggestion that the A's trade for Alcantara. Do you think they could put together a worthy return package that didn't include Wilson or Kurtz?

Dan Szymborski

1:01

I THINK they could, but it woul dhave to be a pretty big package

appa yip yip

1:02

if zips could have a baby with any other projection system which projection system would you prefer it have a baby with

Dan Szymborski

1:02

I think OOPSY so I can have an excuse to visit Finland?