JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 3/16/23

Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page

Dan Szymborski

12:32

Teams get players at a discount when players have reasons to be more risk-averse than the team

12:33

But when you're tlaking a guy with four years of service time, there's a lot less risk for the team

San Dyzmborskeye

12:34

Is Daniel Espino still considered a SP prospect or would you think given his fragility, he's more destined for a relief job?

Dan Szymborski

12:34

I'm not sure starting is dead at this point. We'll see.

MilwaukeeBeerJays

12:34

Last year you thought Yusei kikuchi was a Breakout candidate. This year you think Yusei Kikuchi is......?

Dan Szymborski

12:34

NOT GOING TO BE ON MY LIST

MilwaukeeBeerJays

12:34

Do you ever dress your cats up? I think I wanna get a cat kimono.

Dan Szymborski

12:35

I got a steelers jersey for my sister's cat and took pictures of the cat and sent it to her when I was feeding her cat while she was in Denver

Which angered her (she's a Ravens fan)

Jay

12:37

Matt Chapman - 60 HR with the new Toronto fences?

Dan Szymborski

12:37

I would...uh...take the under

Bryan

12:37

What's your take on SVB failure and depositor make-whole promise from the fed govt?

Dan Szymborski

12:37

Oh god, I accidentally hit post on the politics-related Q!

12:39

Ideologically, I am against bailouts -- and I do consider it a bailout. But I think my bigger complaint, because I never get what I want ideologically, is that it encourages a situation in which there's much increased uncertainty about which depositors will be made whole in bank failures.

12:40

If you want to bail out everyone, then bail out everyone and write appropriate legislation to make that a thing

But don't bail out *some* parties *some* of the time based on foggy, arbitrary criteria

And now I'll be more careful not to click on this genre of question!

12:41

I think where you have government, it should be *good government* run well that does things competently.

TomBruno23

12:41

You run the Cardinals, what do you with Jordan Walker at the end of Spring Training?

Dan Szymborski

12:41

AAA but he's up as soon as he's crushing pitchers

laxtonto

12:41

Do you ever consider doing academic publishing in Sports Analytics journals?

Dan Szymborski

12:41

I'm not really much of an academic writer

Oaktown Blues

12:41

ZiPS sees a Ramon Laureano bounceback in the cards, with a projected 114 wRC+. Do you agree or do you think he's washed?

Dan Szymborski

12:41

I don't think he's toast

laxtonto

12:42

What is your favorite ballpark to go to as a fan vs a member of the press?

Dan Szymborski

12:42

Camden of course is my favorite.

I enjoy PNC Park as a fan but HATE it as a press member

The press box is so high there that you need a sherpa and supplementary oxygen

Don Von Handburger

12:42

Do you think "Seager Beaver" would be a good name for my Roto team?

Dan Szymborski

12:42

Sure

Framberman

12:43

For starting pitchers who throw primarily only 2 pitches (other offerings less than 5%), are there comps to Strider other than DeGrom and Lamet?

Dan Szymborski

12:43

It depends how strict you want comps for the types of pitches.

There's Gausman too

12:44

Now, Gausman has tried to throw other stuff, but besides the fastball and the splitter, everyone just cycles in and out

David

12:44

Does ZIPS incorporate any changes to output metrics (i.e. spin rate, pitch movement, exit Velo etc) into projections?

Dan Szymborski

12:44

YuP!

Inaccessible Rail

12:44

Should the Mets extend Baty & Alvarez now?

Dan Szymborski

12:44

I think generally speaking, you should always be in the business of trying to lock up your top prospects to long deals

James

12:44

The 3 year ZiPS projections never seem to accommodate much room for future growth. I'm trying to decide between Rutschman and Pasquantino in my keeper league, and their 2024 & 2025 projections seem just about the same as their 2023 projections. Is that beyond the scope of the model or am I just an idiot? (Maybe both?)

Dan Szymborski

12:45

It's because these are mean projections - you can see lots of differences in the percentile projections!

Connecting…