JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 3/16/23

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Dan Szymborski

1:01

Edwin Diaz

1:01

Dungeons and Dragons or Dungeness Crabs (and still Dragons)

Dan Szymborski

1:01

D&D

BLUE CRABS RULE

Guest

1:02

Re: Ben’s article on options. Wouldn’t the variance on Corbin Carroll’s 2030 season be larger than say Vlad Jr’s because there’s more uncertainty around Carroll’s true talent? What does ZIPS say is the standard deviation for Carroll’s performance for 2030?

Dan Szymborski

1:02

I dont' remember the reference

but that far in the future EVERYONE has huge variance

there's a lot of uncertainty in time

Lorenzo

1:02

ZIPS thinks Bellinger will bounce back to being around league average. Do you agree or do you think he'll be above or below?

Dan Szymborski

1:03

I think it's about right since he does have defensive value

Among things said about Bellinger when he was a 1B prospect, "in eight years, he'll be a marginal major leaguer but his glove in center will keep him on rosters," is not something I'd expect to see

MilwaukeeBeerJays

1:04

What was your favorite best picture nominee this year?

Dan Szymborski

1:04

Honestly, I haven't enough movies to give a fair assessment

laxtonto

1:04

IQR... grrr

1:05

As someone who works in AI (thought I would call it machine learning), I think people have a misunderstanding of what AI is. AI is already in baseball. You don't need a generative NLP model to call it AI.

Dan Szymborski

1:06

Year W L S ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO ERA+ WAR 2024 4 2 18 2.56 39 0 38.7 25 11 3 16 60 152 0.9 2025 5 2 21 2.76 47 0 45.7 30 14 4 19 69 141 0.9 2026 5 2 21 2.94 50 0 49.0 33 16 4 21 73 132 0.9 2027 5 3 21 3.10 52 0 49.3 34 17 4 23 71 125 0.8

1:07

oh god

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