JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 3/2/23

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 3/2/23

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Dan Szymborski

12:51

Gausman

Guzman?

WTF Dan

Morbo

12:51

ZiPS has detected a threat to the creator. Threat protocol activated: MilwaukeeBeerJays has been added to threat list. Countermeasures activated. IP trace activated. IP acquired. Address trace activated. Address acquired. Drones deployed. Waiting. Waiting. Waiting. Threat, MilwaukeeBeerJays, has been eliminated.

MilwaukeeBeerJays

12:51

We are thinking of getting a cat. I've heard that getting 2 can be good so they can keep each other company. Thoughts?

Dan Szymborski

12:52

Two is good, especially if it's a bonded pair

I would strongly recommend getting two whenever possible

Cats are better adjusted when they have their friend

MilwaukeeBeerJays

12:52

Oh and we are going to name our cat - Cat Stevens

Dan Szymborski

12:53

Cats aren't as solitary as people think

With a pair, there's less anxiety when you leave the house

and they learn things from each other

(usually bad things)

Don Von Handburger

12:53

There should be an awards show for projection systems - The Projees

Bardo Bill

12:54

You were suprisingly forgiving of the Padres for signing Machado to a $350 million contract when ZiPS says he'll only be worth about half of that. Your argument seemed to be mainly that it's fun for the fans when teams take big swings (metaphorically speaking), and that it's "cynical" to try to merely eke into the playoffs, even if that's the rationally maximizing move. But I don't get this at all - if I were a Padres fan I'd be tearing my hair out over the Bogaerts/Machado deals, knowing the team is going to screwed for a good 6 or 7 years starting in the not terribly distant future. Why is it cynical to plan for the long term?

Dan Szymborski

12:54

Basically, because Seidler knows better than I just what his willingness to absorb is

Cat Latos

12:54

Projector Szym, how do my cat frens do?

Dan Szymborski

12:55

Cassiopeia is on my office couch sleeping

Last I saw Constantine, he was pacing near the kitchen becuase he's angling for wet food

he turned up his nose at yesterday's offering, so he's extra hungry today and he's going to have a wait (they don't get it until four)

12:56

I believe Justinian's rough-housing with Mercutio on the stairs right now. Only one cat is jingling (Mercutio doesn't wear a collar). If Constantine was fighting with Mercutio, there'd be hissing, because he starts rough-housing and then hisses as soon as he's losing

12:57

And Justinian and Constantine usually lose rough-housing matches to Mercutio. Mercutio's gentle and dumb, but he's always large, which is very effective. The catlets are better matches for each other usually

Don Von Handburger

12:57

How often do you stop in at the Fangraphs clubhouse, and play some foosball with the guys and gals?

Dan Szymborski

12:57

WAIT WE HAVE A CLUBHOUSE?

Zac Lowther of the Hill People

12:57

In what 2 cities would you put expansion teams?

Dan Szymborski

12:58

Perfect world no teams blocking?

Charlotte and another in the NYC area

Wireless Joe Jackson

12:58

Hades is still the best video game of the last five years. Fight me.

Dan Szymborski

12:59

I still haven't played it!

Tito

1:00

Upcoming day trip to Cincinnati this season for a Reds game (first time ever). Any recommendations?

Dan Szymborski

1:00

For one, no chili

1:02

Park in Newport KY and walk across the pedestrian bridge

Grab something at Moerlein or go to the Hofbräuhaus in Newport; they can stuff in a LOT of drinkers

MilwaukeeBeerJays

1:03

Buy a sous vide dan. BUY ONE

Adam

1:03

Which country that's never hosted an MLB game would you be most excited to see get a chance?

Dan Szymborski

1:03

Dominican Republic

Insert Witty Name Here

1:04

I always loved the lineup protection question. Here’s my uneducated thought process. It needs to be discussed in a game theory way. If it’s a blowout game or a in the first 6 innings, it probably wouldn’t matter who’s hitting behind someone. But when the stakes matter and the game is on the line, the manager will assess who is hitting behind the current hitter. So if Judge is at bat, and Joey Bagodonuts is hitting behind him, Judge is going to get walked because he has no protection. But if he has a better hitter behind him, Judge will get pitched to. So in my opinion, lineup protection matters, but only in few enough situations where it doesn’t really matter where you would find any statistical proof.

Dan Szymborski

1:04

But you're basically talking weak protection, which *is* a proven thing

RC

1:04

What's up with the discrepancy btwn playoff odds and ZiPS projected standings in the NL West?

Dan Szymborski

1:04

I don't run the FanGraphs ones so I don't know. Combo of Steamer and different methodology

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