JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 3/2/23

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Dan Szymborski

12:44

Which keeps the pain from being too bad

Adam

12:44

Which of the new rules do you think will be the first to be revised/tweaked/scrapped?

Dan Szymborski

12:44

I imagine there will be some adjustment to pitch clock rules at some point

Though I don't think it'll be scrapped

comish4lif

12:44

Do you think that the new rules will increase stolen bases? If so, how much: 1%, 5%, 10%, more?!

Dan Szymborski

12:44

I don't have the confidence to specify

12:45

I'll say some, but less than AAA

comish4lif

12:45

Lineup protection at the MLB level. Can I posit that it is hard to measure because in the end - they are all competent major league hitters?

Dan Szymborski

12:45

True, but if they're all competent, then protection can't exist anyway

Limozeen

12:45

How many bases does Esteury Ruiz have to steal to make the A's a playoff team

Dan Szymborski

12:46

Just one if it's coinbase. Whether it's trustworthy or not, it still has more assets than the A's do

comish4lif

12:46

15 homers in Spring Training? I'd want to know which pitchers surrendered the homers.

Ned Buntline's Hairline

12:46

In the same vein as the WBC question, have you looked into whether winter league performance has any predictive value, e.g. Dominican, Venezuelan, etc.?

Dan Szymborski

12:46

I've found it too noisy

But that doesn't mean that someone hasn't found an approach that I have not

Yuniesky Betancourt

12:47

Who's your pick to lead the majors in steals this year?

Dan Szymborski

12:47

I COULD see Ruiz lead the leageu actually

Zac Lowther of the Hill People

12:47

Who is this year's ZiPS golden child that personally befuddles you the most?

Dan Szymborski

12:47

Dean Kremer, but I won't object if ZiPS is right

Zac Lowther of the Hill People

12:47

What was the one offseason move that the O's should have done but sadly did not?

Dan Szymborski

12:47

RODON

Adam

12:47

More likely: Astros miss the playoffs, or Marlins make it?

Dan Szymborski

12:47

number two

Greg

12:48

I assume that "AP" meant Associated Press, rather than a running back who whipped his child with a shoestring potato.

12:48

Whenever I look at MLB projections for prospects in the low minors, I feel like they're usually very low -- which is understandable. How many seasons of solid production in the minors does it take for a prospect to start turning up league average or better projections? Is there a threshold?

Dan Szymborski

12:48

There's not really a convenient threshold I can give you

comish4lif

12:48

Are we to believe that when Sinclair went belly up a dozen+ MLB teams were unprepared and surprised?

Dan Szymborski

12:49

Never underestimate the incompetence of baseball teams.