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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 3/22/17
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Erik
2:52
I hate the 11th inning rule...except when it's already 1 am and I have to get up at 6 am. Then the 11th inning rule is great.
Yosemite Sam
2:52
Harvey uptick in velocity. Reason for optimism or still wait and see?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:52
Optimism for sure.
Emma
2:52
Dan! Would you eat Polish kielbasa blended into a smoothie?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:52
Gross
Harsh Jankz
2:52
Dan, do you answer fantasy questions?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:53
Some of them.
Generally the ones that are of wider interest.
"Pick 7 of these 16 guys!" isn't that interesting for anyone but the person who poses it.
Big Tuna
2:53
Is there any non-injury chance that Conforto gets ABs for the Mets this year?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:53
He'll get some for sure.
Monsignor Martinez
2:54
Do projection systems favor any particular type of batting order? Is there a better way to use traditional a #3 and 4 hitter?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:54
There's not much difference between a reasonable lineup and an optimistized one.
And it really only affects RBI/R for individuals
Big Tuna
2:54
Should Red Sox fans be worried about the health of Pomeranz and Price?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:54
Are they pitchers? if so, yes.
Cory
2:55
Who are you more optimistic for a Verlander-esque bounceback? Grienke or King Felix?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:55
Greinke
Erik
2:55
Couldn't the MLB push for WBC participation to be a required part of contracts in the next CBA? Would it be worth it for the MLB to make the tournament better?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:55
Problem is MLB has to fight *both* teams and players, which is hard.
Jimmy Sak
2:55
Are 'HOLDS' a legitimate scoring category?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:55
They're no weirder than saves honestly.
ctw
2:55
do you feel the projections for eric thames have larger error bars than guys who have played in american minor leagues their whole career?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:56
Sure.
Kiermaier's Piercing Green Eyes
2:56
My dad's favorite player was Shinjo. Don't know why. Got him a Nippon Ham Fighters hat, considered buying a ludicrously expensive commemorative bat off of eBay. Fondly remember his dyed hair. I don't have a question.
Sterling Mallory Chris Archer
2:56
Pick a day and stick to it Szymborski!!!
Dan
2:56
If you were a Japanese franchise would it be the Nippon Jamon Iberico fighters?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:56
Hadn't thought oit but it works.
Bunslow
2:56
Hey Dan, looking for some clarification regarding AAA average, replacement level, and AAAA vis à vis NPB competitive strength relative to MLB (and say, Team Japan vs the Cubs). So how many MLB wins would an "average" AAA team get? A team of "AAAA" players? How does NPB compare? (context: https://www.reddit.com/r/baseball/comments/60b51n/joe_maddon_wants_cubs_to_face_classic_champs/df5yg7r/?context=5)
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:56
NPB tends to come out between AAA and MLB in quality
AAA.5
2:57
Now an all-star team of NPB *could* be competitive in MLB quite easily.
Same with Cuba. The top talent is MLB-caliber, it's the *depth* that amkes the leagues weaker
2:58
Player Tm B Age PO RC/27 BA OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO HP SB CS SH SF IBB GDP OPS+ DR WAR Offensive Comp 1
Tetsuto Yamada NEU R 24 2B 6.60 .284 .341 .487 143 581 101 165 38 4 24 104 47 120 5 23 3 0 3 1 14 127 -3 4.4 Ken Keltner
Yoshitomo Tsutsugo NEU L 25 3B 6.50 .284 .349 .498 124 462 74 131 27 3 22 84 45 114 2 0 1 0 1 1 6 132 -4 3.4 Ryan Zimmerman
Hayato Sakamoto NEU R 28 SS 5.39 .277 .328 .433 140 538 71 149 30 3 16 67 43 92 0 12 4 4 4 1 5 110 -3 2.9 Johnny Logan
Seiya Suzuki NEU R 22 RF 6.54 .302 .347 .506 132 431 63 130 24 8 16 74 29 82 2 11 10 4 2 1 8 133 0 2.6 Austin Kearns
Shogo Akiyama NEU L 29 CF 4.65 .270 .324 .397 139 582 72 157 33 7 9 60 43 107 5 10 8 4 2 1 3 99 0 2.0 Bill Virdon
Kosuke Tanaka NEU L 27 SS 4.05 .254 .307 .384 139 539 66 137 24 5 12 51 34 123 8 13 12 3 2 1 4 91 3 1.9 Bill Spiers
Ryosuke Kikuchi NEU R 27 2B 4.12 .267 .293 .384 144 589 67 157 28 4 11 55 22 116 1 13 7 25 2 0 5 86 6 1.6 Carlos Garcia
Nobuhiro Matsuda NEU R 34 3B 4.06 .243 .282 .424 125 486 60 118 20 4 20 65 25
Player Tm T Age W L ERA G GS IP H R ER HR BB SO ERA+ WAR Comp1
Takahiro Norimoto NEU R 26 13 10 3.60 29 28 197.7 185 85 79 24 52 212 113 3.9 John Lackey
Tomoyuki Sugano NEU R 27 10 8 3.68 26 26 168.7 166 74 69 21 37 151 110 3.2 Shane Reynolds
Shintaro Fujinami NEU R 23 10 9 3.91 29 29 177.3 163 82 77 21 75 188 104 2.9 Mike Bielecki
Kodai Senga NEU R 24 6 5 3.88 18 17 111.3 99 51 48 16 40 127 104 1.8 Adam Eaton
Shota Takeda NEU R 24 10 10 4.39 25 25 160.0 159 83 78 22 65 146 92 1.6 Larry White
Ayumu Ishikawa NEU R 29 9 10 4.58 26 26 145.3 160 79 74 23 32 101 88 1.1 Greg Wooten
Yuta Iwasada NEU L 25 6 6 4.30 18 18 92.0 87 47 44 12 39 90 94 1.0 Tim Kalita
Yuki Matsui NEU L 21 3 2 3.60 61 0 65.0 51 28 26 7 39 88 113 0.6 Dennys Reyes
Toshiya Okada NEU L 25 2 1 3.63 56 0 62.0 58 27 25 7 19 63 112 0.5 Anthony Shumaker
Hirotoshi Masui NEU R 33 4 4 3.98 42 4 61.0 58 29 27 7 25 61 102 0.5 Dwight Bernard
Tatsushi Masuda NEU R 29 4 3 3.63 57 0 57.0 55 25 23 5 17 50 112 0.5 Jack Cressend
Daichi Osera NEU R 26 4 5 4.62 29
English Bob
2:58
Bird has 2 HRs today.
Mike
2:58
Is it surprising to you that most players don't take adderall? Everyone seems to forget all of the methanphetamines players took back in the day.
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:58
THAT WAS JUST TANG THATS WHAT AN OLD SPORTSWRITER TOLD ME
2:59
WILLIE MAYS RED JUICE WASNT METHAMPHETAMINE IT WAS HAWAIIAN PUNCH
Evil Goatee Dan
2:59
But saves+holds is the best category, seeing as saves are just holds that end the ballgame.
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