JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 3/25/21

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Dan Szymborski

12:05

Hello, been trying to figure out why it's not on the front page!

Oh wait, NOW it is!

lol

Dave

12:05

Legend you would most want added to MLB The Show 21?

Dan Szymborski

12:06

I don't know who is in it yet!

I want to see some 19th century mustache petes

Slapshot

12:06

When do you get to first set foot inside an MLB stadium this season? Sooner rather than later, I hope?

Dan Szymborski

12:07

I'll probably go sometime in May. I have my first shot tomorrow and so give it 3-4 weeks for second shot and 2 for effectiveness and I'm looking at early Mayish.

The same credential quotas don't apply this year, so me going won't take away the chance of someone who *really* needs to be there

12:08

Using my BBWAA card won't *quite* be normal yet, but it'll be getting there.

Blake

12:08

I’m a Royals fan and want to know your opinion for the most likely current MLB player career comp for Bobby Witt Jr.

Dan Szymborski

12:08

That's kind of tricky because of his lack of professional experience!

12:09

Maybe Wil Cordero? I don't mean as in he'll be a bust

12:10

But Cordero has a lot of phenom traits - he was able to play in the majors very early, there were concerns he'd grow out of the position, had a very strong arm and good power

That Cordero didn't stick at shortstop and his offense regressed a lot doesn't mean anything ill for Witt

Joe

12:11

Who should trade for Mike Tauchman?

Chris W.

12:11

So when is the tauchman to the mariners trade going to happen?

Dan Szymborski

12:11

Honestly, he's way more useful to the Yankees than Bruce is

David S

12:11

Are Robbie Ray and Steven Matz for real after both seem to find the strike zone at higher rate than before? If its not a mirage, are the Jays serious contenders for the AL East?

Dan Szymborski

12:11

It's certainly a possibility. They were both good rebound candidates in any case

Wally Whitehurst

12:11

Does it feel like there have been more arbiter rulings about option years than ever before? What do you think is behind it and do any of the recent rulings have actual ramifications for teams in how they construct their rosters?

Dan Szymborski

12:11

I think the messiness of the COVID year made everything a little tricky

Brezel Soft Pretzels

12:11

Best soft pretzels in Cincinnati.....for those with a jaw condition. Have a great chat Dan...we are here to help and serve you.

Dan Szymborski

12:12

I don't have an actual jaw condition, I just ate too many pretzels lately!

matt

12:12

With Adam Haseley back and Odubel Herrera's cooldown are Phillies fans safe from having to root for a team with Herrera on the major league roster?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

i DUNNO, i STILL THINK HE MAKES THE TEAM

LFC Mike

12:12

We are not already having the "Tatis Jr. is a fragile player" are we? He is SO SO talented and fun to watch... Hamstrings, back injury, hand injuries..(thank you head first slides) and the recurring shoulder issue now. Say it ain't so Dan. I want to see him play 150 games fully healthy.

Dan Szymborski

12:12

I hope soo too.

12:13

I always grumble a bit about ZiPS giving him low games because of his missed time

Baseballlll

12:13

Hey Dan, ZiPS is great and really appreciate your expertise in these chats and in your articles. A while back Ariel Cohen posted and article about auction results comparing the different projection systems and ZiPS seemed to come out the worst. Do you have thoughts about the article or its conclusions?

Dan Szymborski

12:14

Ariel's methodology is very fantasy focused, so ZiPS can't possibly look good given that it's playing time estimates are not "ready made" for fantasy in this way.

That's not a knock on Ariel; he's looking for something very specific!

matt

12:15

How depressed will Pirates fans be when Cole, Glasnow, Musgrove and Morton all receive Cy Young votes? And what the hell, give Taillon one too.

Dan Szymborski

12:15

I think Pirates fans are already depressed!

Charles

12:15

Dan! I know you aren't a fantasy writer but I'm on a deadline here so I'm hoping you will help. What is your outlook on Gavin Lux this year and moving forward relative to Jean Segura? I could keep Segura at 5.5 or trade him for Lux at 11.00 and have Lux into the future.

Dan Szymborski

12:16

I think I'd keep Segura if your team is strong. I love Lux, but Segura has some characteristics that are just weighted heavier in fantasy than real life

diadem

12:17

Seeing Arenado's career home/road split it is hard not to buy into those pundits projecting a rather severe drop. You are perhaps the most pessimistic of all. Is there any hope for a better outcome?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

There's quite a lot of hope!

(Incidentally, there's something weird going on with the wRC+ in the projections)

12:18

But there are risks involved with Arenado

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