JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

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Dan Szymborski

12:23

TLDR version

Guy insists he has a secret lineup model using OBP/RBI/R that can improve teams by 10 wins a year

12:24

But only a few teams contract his services because a lot of teams only need 1-9 wins

Then claimed to have met me and being disappointed with my behavior

and accusing me of not being the real Dan Szymborski

WanderingWinder

12:24

How quickly do projections shift for players where we're getting their first looks at Big League playing time?

Dan Szymborski

12:24

Not TOO much

didace

12:24

Hot Take - Jackson Holiday is overmatched and needs to be sent down to AA.

Phil

12:25

Tyler O'Neill. . . I guess I don't have a question.

hi there

12:25

Dan we need more entries in that "what if?" series that you ran during 2020 with projections for players who were derailed by injuries

Dan Szymborski

12:25

I know, I gotta do more Time Warps

12:25

Which Jackson (Chourio, Holliday, Merrill) do you think finishes the season with the highest wRC+?

Dan Szymborski

12:25

Holliday

MilwaukeeBeerJays

12:25

Justin Turner is the Jays best hitter. Discuss.

Dan Szymborski

12:25

I wouldn't go that far

Drew

12:26

Are the Tigers destined for another bottom 5 offensive season or is there enough potential improvement there to bring them out of the basement?

Dan Szymborski

12:26

I think they're OKish, somewhere between the 8th-11th best AL offense

Idiotic Failson

12:26

Re: Career day - did you tell the kids that your job is basically fiddling with spreadsheets and talking to strangers on the internet about your cats?

Dan Szymborski

12:26

I just did the straight up version

12:27

I think most of the older kids were more interested in the esports I wrote about for a few years at ESPN than my baseball things

Though a couple teachers were really excited to talk baseball with me

Nobody's said anything to me, but I think the first grade class was a disaster

12:28

I was kinda shoved in with first graders because I got there early and a speaker cancelled, so they just sent me there as a bonus rind

round

I started off asking them if anyone enjoys writing

which is pretty stupid for six year olds

crickets and they just got more confused from there

John Fishers wallet

12:28

Since the A's supposedly want to be a $120-130M in the Short Term, which player do they throw a stupid amount of money to

Dan Szymborski

12:29

Maybe Gelof

Idiotic Failson

12:30

How does ZIPS estimate Holds. It seems like that would be incredibly context dependent and difficult to model.

Dan Szymborski

12:30

It doesn't!

If it is, something's really gone wrong since I'm unaware of trying to model them

The Munson

12:30

Is the Carlos Rodon start a mirage? He's way down in k's from his big years, and he's giving up a lot of hits while also suppressing runs.

Dan Szymborski

12:30

I'm just happy he's not getting destroyed

Seattle's K:BB Ratio

12:30

Was not trading a young arm for an everyday bat this offszn the wrong move?

Dan Szymborski

12:30

I think it's a real risk

Brad in Bmore

12:30

Who's called up next for the Birds? Stowers? Kjerstad? How do they make room? And why do all these guys bat from the left (I know Stowers' splits right now, but still, getting pretty susceptible to LHP).

Dan Szymborski

12:31

I think it's really hard to call up offensive players after Holliday without some very bad things having happened

There's just not a lot of room int he lineup

Tim Livingston

12:31

Nick Ahmed lapping the field in defensive metrics early on as we all suspected. Still enough in the tank to be a worthwhile contributor after the small sample size mojo goes away?

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