Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 4/12/17
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AvatarDan Szymborski
2:18
If Feliz stays good, he's traded. If he doesn't, there's no reason to have him close.
2:19
And unless I'm forgetting someone, which is possible, Knebel has the best velocity of all the on-roster options.
Biden the Dog
2:19
Would you take Josh Bell or Ryan Zimmerman offense ROS? Level of confidence?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:19
Bell. Can't say the level of the cuff.
Mrs. Garrett
2:19
Amir Garrett seems awfully comfortable on the mound. How good do you think he'll be this year?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:20
ZiPS is still suspicious, but I went back and looked at the game tape (well, digital tape) since I totally forgot about his debut. He looked *extremely* poised out there. Like a pitcher.
Dan's clone's brothers nephew
2:21
Luis Urias hitting for power so far. Chance he has Ian kinsler's upside?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:21
I don't want to go nuts over a start and he doesn't *look* like a guy who will have a lot of power in teh end, but I think he'll succeed in the majors
Jessie
2:22
I know he is striking out a ton but is Byron Buxton basically Kevin Kiermaier? Which is great, but people want him to be so much more? Give the guy a break. He is 23, plays Gold Glove defense and even if he only hits .240 will make a tremendous impact on the bases.
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:22
What's wrong with Kiermaier?
If he eturns out to be Kiermaier, th Twins shouldn't complain
On the Mend
2:22
Does Arismendy Alcantara deserve more of a chance to play regularly?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:22
I think he's more fitting for a supersub role.
Bookie Metts
2:23
Who has the best catchers in the majors, and why is it the Boston Red Sox?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:23
Giants. Becuase Posey
Gary
2:23
What about you, Sideburns? You want some of this milk?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:23
OK Billy
John
2:23
Is your park factor research for the purpose of predicting park factors at Atlanta's new park based on dimensions?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:23
Perhaps!
Make yourself confortable
2:23
What do you think the odds are of Conforto getting 400 or more at bats this year for the Mets?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:23
40%
Dan's clone's brothers nephew
2:23
Do you prefer Mike Trout to Jesus Christ or Matt Kemp
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:23
Mike Trout is beyond the likes and dislikes of mortals.
tom
2:24
should we be worried about oh and his closer position?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:24
Yes. Because I think the smart move is to be patient and since Matheny doesn't make the smart move with the bullpen ever, then it would be the opposite.
mtsw
2:24
Saw on twitter your post on modeling park factors. Given how deterministic the physics of ball travel is, will we eventually get the point where a detailed model will produce better park factors than game data? Or are there too many variables at play?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:24
I think too many variables.
2:25
I was thinking of lots of ways to model things like batter's eye (physically going to parks and doing eye tests), none of which are remotely plausible to actually do
I think if I ask my boss "Hey, can I have 10K to collect batter's eye data at MLB ballparks" I would get a frosty reaction.
12 to 6
2:26
Most exciting team so far?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:26
Reds because of Garrett and Finnegan. No, they will still be bad for the season (teh Reds)
tom
2:27
mark reynolds feels like he has been around forever and has had his share of hot streaks. whats the over/under that this will last for a few months?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:27
I'm surprised he wasn't doing this his last run in Coors.
He'll cool though.
Erik
2:27
Zach Britton and Brandon Crawford for Corey Seager in a redraft league. Which side do you prefer, and by how much?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:27
The first somehwat. Crawford is really good.
I'm in a box
2:27
Is Marcell Ozuna a top 15 NL offensive player this year?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:27
No
call me maybin
2:28
Small sample size, but is it time to be worried about Jonathan Villar? 40 percent swinging strike rate, 45 percent pull rate, he's hitting the ball into the air more, so he can't take advantage of his speed. Obviously his .167 BABIP should increase dramatically, and obviously he's always struckout at a fair clip, but his approach at the plate really seems to have taken a step back.
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:28
I wouldn't go nuts, this is a small small sample, even for approach.
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