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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 4/16/26

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Dan Szymborski

12:55

it's so far so good

The Actor for Al Pacino

12:55

Thoughts on Emerson and Pratt getting paid with the immediate plan being the minors? I don't think we've seen that in particular before, the 0-days-service-time extension has been tied at the hip to debuting

Dan Szymborski

12:55

I don't think it's necessarily a problem

Pirates Fan

12:55

Thoughts on the Pirates rotation once Jared Jones comes back? Do you think they go to a 6 man rotation or put either Mlodzinski or Jones in the Pen? From watching Mlodzinski pitch he seems pretty good in a starter role this year?

Dan Szymborski

12:55

II think they might go 6-man

Thanks Dan

12:55

Cam Smith future star?

Dan Szymborski

12:55

Not sold on that

Fin

12:55

Is it #over for Rafael Devers? When will it be #over if he continues producing like this?

Dan Szymborski

12:55

This is really too soon

12:56

I mean yeah, he would be done as a .600 OPS guy, but I dont' think he'll be a .600 OPS guy

The Actor for Al Pacino

12:56

It's so weird that Aaron Judge has a 152 wRC+ and I feel like he's still starting slow...

‘Merica is a supremacist death cult

12:56

Prbly a job for Jaffe, think we need some talk of the “amateur” and MiLB background, but article request: Ode to Carson Kelly…Guy’s arc seems very in line with how I see the post-pandemic landscape for players

Hiro

12:56

Any reason to believe Pages could sustain a 140-150 wrc+ and good defence during the season?

Dan Szymborski

12:56

too rich for my blood

Matt McLain

12:56

so was my spring more signal or noise?

Dan Szymborski

12:57

spring means something, but it hasn't looked good so far!

Idiotic Failson

12:57

Speaking of 'April', how about Cameron Schlittler? He leads the league in pitcher WAR - does he finish in the top 10 this year?

Dan Szymborski

12:57

I think there's a chance

after all, I put him on the booms list because I thought there was a chance

and it's not like his 2026 performance would change my mind negatively!

Phil

12:57

Will any white sox player who qualifies with enough at bats this year hit above .225? its getting really hard to watch

Dan Szymborski

12:58

ZiPS still thinks Hays will finish at .251!

SidDaAstrosKid

12:58

Howdy Dan, I saw a clip of Shohei changing up his delivery yesterday to fool Francisco Lindor during an AB (clip was courtesy of pitchingninja), is that a common thing for pitchers to do/ this may be a dumb follow up, why don't they do it more often during games?

Dan Szymborski

12:58

I think one reason is that there's a risk of inconsistent mechanics

12:59

If someone could pull it off, a real set of volatile windups might be interesting as as value option

Especially if someone can pull it off super weird. Like be Bob Gibson one pitch and then Darren O'Day the next. But you don't see guys do that because consistent mechanics are also crucial for execution

Galahad

1:00

Over the years I've seen countless claims that a given hitter is "streaky". Are you aware of any work done to try to define "streakiness" and determine whether some are more prone than others? My belief is that everyone is "streaky", and the idea that some hitters are consistently more so is a vestige of perception.

Dan Szymborski

1:00

I haven't seen much predictive value in streakiness

BUT

players are a little more streaky than you expect from random chance, but it supports some ebb and flow of a player's underlying ability

1:01

like there are more no-hitters than you expect from chance

Guest

1:01

Jumping off from the burger issue, how hard is it to find passable chili outside of Texas?

Dan Szymborski

1:01