JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 4/23/26

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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 4/23/26

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Bob

12:58

Any thoughts of a mid-season ZiPS Top 100 prospect list or even just something exclusively looking at biggest in season risers and fallers? I know you do something similar for MLB players and maybe include some high level prospects, but this would be a deeper dive. Thanks.

Dan Szymborski

12:59

I've thought about it, though I usually have a lot of midseason stuff

Depends if there's sufficient itnerest

I want to do stuff readers want, after all you guys pay for my stuff

Guest

12:59

Someone just offered me Yordan for Gunnar. I have Elly at SS and use Gunnar in my DH spot. I need doubles and average. Im low on those. Would you make that deal

Dan Szymborski

12:59

Yes

Farhandrew Zaidman

12:59

What percentage of MLB's total position player pool were originally signed/drafted as a SS, C, or CF (i.e. the 'premium' positions)?

Dan Szymborski

12:59

Don't know the percentage, but it's gotta be large

especially SS

1:00

at any time, the best 2B/3B/SS prospects are the top SS prospect list

The Grateful Red

1:00

Assuming full health elsewhere, the Reds will have a top X rotation in baseball when Hunter Greene returns?

Dan Szymborski

1:00

I'll say 7th

Izzy

1:00

I would think those Brewers would cost twice as much… shouldn’t each one get over $100m? Maybe not Miz, but Turang and Made should both be $150+m.

Dan Szymborski

1:01

Made could go up quickly, but he's also a AA guy for like two weeks

Farhandrew Zaidman

1:01

Surely Sugano can't last with a sub 4 ERA with half his starts in Coors....right? RIGHT?!

Dan Szymborski

1:01

right

Oaktown Blues

1:01

I love the new individual game simulator in the Lab - any chance we might see ZiPS (ROS) as a projection option there in the future?

Dan Szymborski

1:01

there's no reason that there couldn't be

1:02

since a lot of the bones come the batter vs. pitcher matchup tool I wrote for David

Uncle Spike

1:02

I second a mid season ZIPS Top 100. That would be VERY interesting to us fantasy baseballers.

Dan, Man

1:02

Dan, I'm sad again, man. But it's not your fault

Dan Szymborski

1:02

I'm sorry you are sad, but pleased it' snot my doing

Brew Thirty

1:02

Given projections are meant to be a baseline for possible outcomes, do you feel ZiPs is closer to the floor or ceiling for a player? In other words, do you generally feel stronger about players possibly exceeding ZiPs or falling short?

Dan Szymborski

1:02

Ideally, it should be in the middle or I've calibrated wrong!

William O'Brien

1:02

If Shohei decided that he wants to have a sub-1 ERA this year, we should probably just assume he's going to do it at this point, right? .......I think I'm only partially joking.

Dan Szymborski

1:03

I'm still waiting for the year he goes into the spring and says "Fuck it, I'm a gold glove SS now. Also, I now kick 80 yard field goals perfectly so I won't be available on Sundays"

Raises hand

1:03

FWIW, I would also love a mid-season update to ZiPS Top 100.

Dan, Man

1:03

I generally hate when baseball sites touch on non-baseball topics but he world seems dark and idk who is supposed to lead us out of here

Dan Szymborski

1:03

My chats definitely do more than baseball

1:04

but I don't really do politics if THAT is what you want

party

2

1:05

Fundamentally, I detest the cartoonish worldview of wingnut Twitter users and the cartoonish worldview of moonbat Blue Sky users, and most people who aren't one of them also aren't very online. So there's no purpose for me getting into that

cool

3

I've got nothing to offer that Matts Welch or Yglesias wouldn't say better than me

Jon

1:06

Greatest career ever: Comedian? Fans are chill, you make a ton of money, your goal is to make people laugh, tour however you like

Dan Szymborski

1:06

There seems to be a lot of substance abuse though

and that comes froM SOMETHING after all

Insert Witty Name Here

1:07

You want to do what we want? I want you to have an hour long podcast with Murray Chass while eating at skyline.

Dan Szymborski

1:07

Chass is one of only two people in baseball that I would not break bread with.

cool

1

(I won't say the other one, an ex player in the HoF)

1:08

I still think he should have had his BBWAA card taken away for the Mike Piazza stuff

He used his credentials to analyze a player's naked body. That's not what we're in the clubhouse to do.

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