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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 4/23/26

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Dan Szymborski

12:44

I don't mind that so much, but I also find that if I'm picking an individual Mahler symphony, 7 is one of the less likely ones I pick

Jon

12:44

How we feeling about the Royals' new stadium plans Dan?

Dan Szymborski

12:44

Like most, they're terrible financial decisions for the community

MilwaukeeBeerJays

12:44

Dan, Dan, the RPG, piano playing Cat-man. Does ZIPS think all 5 NL central teams will finish above .500? A strong NL central was not on my bingo card this year.

Dan Szymborski

12:44

No, but it's fun while it happens

Well-Beered Englishman

12:45

What is a now completely meaningless, years-old piece of team gossip you heard?

Dan Szymborski

12:45

That Javy Lopez had a love of fart jokes that would rival a five-year-olds. I heard this from MULTIPLE sources back in the day

Farhandrew Zaidman

12:45

Which season is closer to PCA's true talent level, 2025 (109 wRC+) or 2026 (79 wRC+)?

Dan Szymborski

12:45

109, but it's still likely in th e middle

Baseball learner

12:45

Follow up question: what traits does zips look for in which starters would improve as relievers? Is it about walks and command vs strikeouts? Is there a way of predicting which pitchers will see bumps to their velocity and which starters are already maxing out?

Dan Szymborski

12:46

Contact rate is relevant, and ZiPS is less concerned about walk issues, which tend to fade for guys who convert. ZiPS also looks for guys with a really narrow repertoire as they're the type that are most stretched as starters

Farhandrew Zaidman

12:47

I know the draft isn't specifically your jam, but should the White Sox go position player (Roch) or pitcher (Flora) at 1.1?

Dan Szymborski

12:47

I think they go with Roch

They HAVE to know that they're better at slapping together marginal pitchers than developing hitters

right?

20longyears

12:47

Because April, the Pirates currently have 3 of the most valuable 15 National League pitchers by WAR, and none of them are named Paul. At the end of the season, the Pirates will have ____ of the top 15 NL pitchers.

Dan Szymborski

12:47

a number from 0 to 15

War2D2

12:50

Speaking of the O’s, I had the game on yesterday while working and was struck by just how slow all of their players looked. I have no idea if Statcast backs this up, but every one of them looked like they were running uphill wearing a backpack full of cinder blocks.

Dan Szymborski

12:50

Weighted by competitive runs, team sprint speed

SPRINT SPEED WSH Total 27.87188329 MIL Total 27.81158537 PHI Total 27.737 BOS Total 27.57945619 MIA Total 27.51157025 PIT Total 27.47879656 SD Total 27.28575851 CIN Total 27.28445378 COL Total 27.28403909 TB Total 27.2639881 DET Total 27.22151515 Average 27.09222034 CWS Total 27.0862963 AZ Total 27.08421053 LAA Total 27.04128788 CHC Total 26.99440994 BAL Total 26.98825503 TEX Total 26.97665505 ATH Total 26.96832298 SF Total 26.95479876 KC Total 26.93630137 HOU Total 26.8994709 NYM Total 26.8918239 ATL Total 26.80934844 LAD Total 26.79681979 STL Total 26.78741722 MIN Total 26.71611722 NYY Total 26.70794224 CLE Total 26.5105919 TOR Total 26.48495575 SEA Total 26.47389831

12:51

O's rank 16th

Alex

12:51

I'm pondering a fantasy trade right now and can't decide if I'm going crazy - I'm a cardinals fan and I'm thinking about seiya suzuki or jordan walker as the last piece I'm receiving in a trade. Do you buy Jordan being better than Seiya for the rest? I know ZiPS was really down on Jordan this season pre-swing change.

Dan Szymborski

12:51

If things are going really well already, Suzuki, but if I need some upside, Walker

Chip

12:52

Are you a believer in Jacky Cags? The dude's batted-ball data are elite, but the results aren't there and he strikes out a ton. Small sample size, or just not that good?

Dan Szymborski

12:52

I'm still, but we'll see

Fish Fan

12:54

I still feel so burned by the Eric Thames thing that I don't know if I'll ever trust the foreign/returning player hot start until like after the ASB

Rob A

12:54

Zips have any interest in Lucas Giolito for their 15 team mixed pts dynasty?

Dan Szymborski

12:54

15 team? Not really

Farhandrew Zaidman

12:54

Are you as far out on Giolito as the industry seems to be? $3 mil, prorated, and signed in late April seems like a "last shot as a pro" type of contract.

Dan Szymborski

12:54

It's not so much that Giolito is really good, but that he's exactly what the Padres needed right now

12:55

If you've been walking through the wilderness, starving, and see an Olive Garden, Olive Garden is fricking amazing

Brew Thirty

12:55

Made is ripping up AA with a nearly 17% BB rate and 13% K rate. Given the state of affairs on the left side of the Brewers infield, do you think he could force their hand and make an extreme jump to the bigs this year?

Dan Szymborski

12:55

They COULD

Bob

12:55

Wait, you live near Dave Chappelle? How has there not been a FG and/or ZiPS crossover? Ohio ain't that big or have that much going on!

Dan Szymborski

12:55

My sister does, but I live South of Dayton

12:56

you see him around the area and nobody makes a big deal of it and goes about their business

Chicago