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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 4/24/24

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Phil

12:17

The other night, the Sox broadcasters mentioned that Casas was batting .000 against starters and .313 against relievers. Since then he still doesn't have a hit off a starter and has hit two home runs off relievers. Do you know how to get this split? It doesn't seem to be in the Fangraphs splits tool. I am wondering how this compares--it seems pretty extreme. I am also wondering of course whether there's anything to it or it's just small-sample weirdness.

Dan Szymborski

12:17

I don't know how to do it easily

Like if I have the log, I can just separate out the first pitcher he faces each game

But systematically I'm not sure

Von Hayes

12:17

Smokin' Jim Leyland

12:18

True/False: the Tigers have been the best team in the AL so far? Assuming "True" is your answer - seems encouraging that they are doing this with a dinged up bullpen and no Parker Meadows/Matt Vierling, no?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

True

And yes

The pitching has been absolutely insane

Anaheim 92806

12:18

Mike Trout is still good. Discuss.

love

1

Dan Szymborski

12:18

I don't think that's the question really. It's been more about attendance

Snid

12:18

How can I erase from memory that I drafted Jordan Romano?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

No tariffs on bourbon, you know

James

12:19

Has Hunter Brown graduated to ace status?

Dan Szymborski

12:19

He's certainly making the case

Joe

12:19

Is it possible the Orioles are just bad? If so, where the heck do they go from here?

Dan Szymborski

12:19

THIS bad? Probably not. Little has gone right for the rotation. But it was never going to be GREAT

12:20

That's why you see a lot of teams in the high 80s wins. They may be good, but there's risk

Jake Mangum

12:20

How much would my projections improve if I changed my name to Jake Magnum?

Dan Szymborski

12:20

.45 WAR

Bob Loblaw

12:20

Any internal discussion around getting gambling info on this site? I can't be the only degenerate baseball fan.

sad

1

Dan Szymborski

12:20

It's something we've shied away from doing

cool

2

party

2

trophy

1

12:22

I used to do a prop bet piece once a year at ESPN, but that's about as far as I was willing to go

12:23

And I think like half our full-timers are BBWAA members, and we have additional restrictions

Stephen

12:24

Feels weird to say this with his batting average being so high, but should we expect a major performance decline from Goldschmidt going forward? xwOBA looking pretty ugly

Dan Szymborski

12:24

I think so. BABIP is far stickier for hitters than pitchers, but Goldy is certainly NOT a near .500 BABIP guy

nobody is

Oaktown Blues

12:24

Shea Langeliers is running a dramatically reduced K rate compared to his career. How big does the sample have to be for that to be meaningful?

Dan Szymborski

12:24

It already is

12:25

as it's supported by contact info

I thought it was Chili time

12:25

Hi Dan! Ryan Walker's last couple of outings not so bueno. Just a rough stretch? and how much leash?

Dan Szymborski

12:25

not worried yet

Guest

12:25

Are the Dodgers mediocre? A run differential of a barely over 500 team and a lot of their wins came against cellar dwellers like the Braves and Rockies.

Dan Szymborski

12:26

No. I think people were too crazy about them -- they didn't have an over/under of 105 or something crazy -- but they're still an excellent team

Guest

12:26

Needing saves: Jordan Leasure, Hunter Gaddis, Will Vest, Jesus Tinnoco are the only viable FAs? What order? Who do I drop? Tony Santillain, Matt Strahm, Jeremiah Estrada? Thanks.

Dan Szymborski

12:26

oh dear lord

12:27

OK, I just saw leasure first

I'd be most interested in Vest for sure

12:28

Gaddis is good and Cleveland up in the air, but you're also betting against Clase's shoulder

if you have to drop one of those three, Santillan is probably the one I like least

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