JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 4/29/21

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Dan Szymborski

12:37

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/april-hitting-stats-mean-nothing-except-th...

I give better details when I'm sitting down and writing a piece rather than talking off-the-cuff!

Grapes

12:37

Galaxy Brain: The Cubs can't trade Baez, Davies or Pederson at the deadline if they all have 0 trade value

Dan Szymborski

12:37

oof

Appa Yip Yip

12:37

What team is Trevor Story on come August? German Marquez?

Dan Szymborski

12:37

Rockies

thephantomblot

12:38

What's your take on Luis Castillo's struggles this year? Do you see any positive indicators for a turnaround?

Dan Szymborski

12:38

I'm actually EXTREMELY worried

Look at the velocity. THen look at the dropoff in contact rate

Bigfoot Erotica

12:38

You've expressed that you enjoy AEW, and I guess it isn't any worse than whatever the hell the WWE is doing the past few years. But seems to me that trying to convince people that that the Young Bucks are some top badass team is like trying to convince a baseball fan that Ben Revere is a middle of the order slugger.

Cakes&Kakes

12:38

OMG DAN YOU'RE LATE!

Dan Szymborski

12:38

Fashionably so.

Eel Ffilc

12:38

When Bridich was let go, I knew there was only one man who was going to write the article.

Grapes

12:38

Can the Brewers still win the Central without a productive Yelich or Cain?

Dan Szymborski

12:39

Yes, the division just isn't very good

The Cardinals are likely the best team. But they're not like the Dodgers or Padres

FalmerBloodElixir

12:40

Top 3 neural network predictions for records to be broken this year

Dan Szymborski

12:40

I just had a fun one the last few days

12:42

I put all the key & peele college football names into it

12:43

Red

12:44

42? I thought it was 82

Dan Szymborski

12:44

I was born in 78

1978 not the year 1978

Guest

12:44

I liked old dan more

Jason

12:44

What is a lobster? I saw the term last week in a Fangraphs article but am not familiar with it

Dan Szymborski

12:44

Someone who lobs pitches

Jered Weaver was a lobster.

Tristan

12:44

Can I believe in Nick Solak long-term? Or is this power surge merely a false dawn?

Dan Szymborski

12:44

I've been mildly optimistic. He dserved a second chance after 2020

Zach

12:44

Odds MLB panic switches back to the old ball after All-Star break?

Dan Szymborski

12:44

Probably low.

Ivan

12:44

David Cone said he was a 2 pitch pitcher for 10 years before he was taught the splitter grip

12:45

Is it finally happening for Luis Urías? His underlying Statcast data is starting to look pretty solid.

Dan Szymborski

12:45

I hope so, I've been stanning for him

Brad Lipton

12:45

What is the best way for you to present ranges in your ZIPS projections in an efficient manner? For example, if two different projection systems both have a person hitting 20 HR as their average, but one has a much higher 75th percentile prediction than the other, that is useful information to have for the reader.

Dan Szymborski

12:45

That's something I'm still sorting out. It's difficult, you have to trade off being detailed and having a massive flood of data

So I've been going the percentile route lately

Phillip

12:46

You're starting a franchise and can have Acuna, Tatis or Soto for the rest of their career. How would you rank them in this scenario?

Dan Szymborski

12:46

In that order

I love all three

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