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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 4/30/18
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Kletcher
2:32
Shane Carle: effective high leverage reliever, just like we all predicted coming in to the season. No seriously, have the Braves actually found something in him? ZiPS still has his projected ERA up over 5.00. He doesn't miss bats as much as you'd like out of a reliever but limits the walks (which is something the rest of the 'pen can't claim).
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:33
Well, the projection still includes a lot of starting, it would probably come down quite a bit
With his velocity this year, he'll have a bette rprojection next year if it keeps up
2:34
Remembe,r he wasn't exactly great last year, even if it was the PCL
Dan Symbioteski
2:34
Tyson Ross actually died and his hell is being a good pitcher but only when he is on bad Padres teams.
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:34
That's really cruel
I think that kinda makes the front office Satan
which means Cameron is now some kind of lich king or something.
The only guy from ND
2:34
Does anyone ever confuse the baseball projection system with the Windows file extension?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:34
not that I know of!
YKnotDisco?!
2:37
Why do HBPs have a higher run value than BB?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:37
Mostly becuase regression suggests that they lead to more runs.
2:38
My theory is that given that walks aren't truly binary between unintentional and intentional, there's a slightly lower leverage of the average unintentional walk than HBP
or at leas ta situation in which the pitcher is more willing to give up a walk than nomrla
I hvaen't really dug into it
Kyle
2:38
What do you think of the Cardinals outlook the next few years? Do you think they should go hard after trades at the deadline and free agents this winter? Or should they pivot and sell off?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:38
I think they got where they are be being solid and careful and that's what they'll ride.
Pad Squad
2:39
The Padres have a lot of prospect depth but few future superstars. Do you think they should just let their prospects play out, or should they use most of them as trade chips to acquire real star-power?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:39
The Padres shouldn't be acquiring stars, because most stars that are stars have a short-term outlook
Unless you're talking, say, Mike Trout, but that's not happening
Guest
2:39
NICHOLAS. WILLIAM. MARKAKIS.
@RationalMLBfan
2:41
As an Orioles fan, perhaps you can answer: What's the deal with Richard Bleier? He doesn't throw hard, doesn't have a trick pitch (e.g., screwball), strikes out so few batters (though walks even fewer), and has put up some good results (though ERA significantly outperforms FIP) in almost 100 career innings. Does he somehow induce weak contact? Does he hide the ball well (his delivery isn't conventional, but it isn't *too* funky)? Is he just BABIP lucky?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:41
Bleier is weird in that if you looked at his profile and the weak contact against, you'd think he was a knuckleballer
2:42
He's certainly a wormburner guy
2:43
But I don't know if he can keep *this* up.  that BABIP is a bit *too* low to be fully real and that K rate *too* scary
Dan Dan the Cheerleading Man
2:43
Hey Dan, if a cannibal made a chili made of meat from former players Colter Bean, Billy Bean, and Belev Bean, would this be considered chili even though it was made with Beans?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:43
Yes.  You can make chili with proper noun Beans, just not common noun beans.
Elton
2:43
Domingo Santana:  panic or patience?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:43
Still April
Barfield & Friends
2:43
HeyDan Christenszym
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:43
Yuck!
2:44
I know I can't get Philip Seymour Hoffman to play me anymore, but why not Jim Gaffigan?
Rob
2:44
How worried should I be about Sonny Gray?  I'm pretty worried.
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:44
I'm pretty worried
Yo-Yo
2:44
Ever play classic Sonic? Mania is a fantastic game.
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:44
I haven't
YKnotDisco?!
2:44
Can you post the link for the explanation of scouting grades, please? I can't seem to find it. Thanks.
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:45
But there's some variance depending on who is doing it
Sir Mookleton McBetts III
2:45
Mookie Betts has more career WAR than Mookie Wilson.
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