JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat 5/1/25

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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat 5/1/25

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Aaron Judge

12:28

Can he actually hit .400? I mean this is insane right? We have never seen a power hitter hit for this type of average before

Dan Szymborski

12:28

I don't imagine that's a realistic possibility

Homer

12:28

If Baltimore does end up retooling, seems like they'd have to try to trade OF and IF for SP, right? Any chance they match up with the Braves at all?

Dan Szymborski

12:29

I'm not sure the Braves really sync up with their needs

Royals gonna Royal

12:30

Cameron comes up, looks good, gets sent down. Why didn't they just dfa Stratton? Dude sucks

Dan Szymborski

12:30

I think you liked that start WAY better than I did

You know you’re in too deep for the O’s when...

12:31

You start tracking Trevor Rogers rehab progress. Please give me something more solid to hope for with this team!

MF Luder

12:31

In a vacuum, who’s the better hitter: Edouard Julien or Spencer Horowitz?

Dan Szymborski

12:32

Prob Horwitz

Sodo Mojo

12:32

The Mariner's are playing well but the IL list is getting to be longer and longer. Given the current WC environment and their logical adds in the market they can make to address their Injury issues.

Dan Szymborski

12:32

I think right now, it's hard, there just aren't many teams that are out of the race and know they are

and the ones that are have mostly already traded off most of their assets

jan Jzymborski

12:32

Whats your favorite era related stat? ERA+? xERA?

Dan Szymborski

12:32

ERA+. Not because it's the best, but because it's easy to communicate what it is

12:33

Sometimes, the perfect stat from an analyst standpoint isn't the perfect stat for interpretability when you're communicating with others

xSLG

12:33

Judge is overperforming his xBA (a terrible awful .354) but UNDERperforming is xSLG

Dan the NYM GM

12:34

By May 18, New York Mets must either bring up Ronnie Mauricio or use Mauricio last MiLB option. Assuming no worse than meh re hab, what would you ( and ZIPS) do?

Dan Szymborski

12:36

I'd probably use him in minors as long as you can keep giving Luisangel playing time

Oddball Herrera

12:36

Am I stuck in the past with the degree of shenanigans I am calling on Trent Grisham's sudden competency? Statcast loves him, but I just can't see how you go from three straight years below the mendoza line to this

Dan Szymborski

12:36

Projection systems never really gave up on him

Vince

12:37

Is Marcus Semien done? Can't just say "April" any more... Any reason for hope with him?

Dan Szymborski

12:37

not done, but he *is* a 34-year-old middle infielder and there's a brutal curve there

Kevin

12:39

Probably the last thing anyone’s thinking about re: Judge, but do you have any idea why his defensive metrics were so out of step with his career numbers last year? I was convinced at the time there was some sort of systematic error playing next to Soto so much

Dan Szymborski

12:39

I don't have them in front of me, but IIRC, he lost like two or three feet of jump from 2022 to 2024

MF Luder

12:40

Fill in the blank: Luisangel Acuña will be a top __ hitting 2B by year's end

Dan Szymborski

12:42

__hat__ hitting 2B by year's end after the Mets start a riot at the Lincoln Center during Act 1 of La Traviata

Triston Casas

12:42

Am I just not as good as initially advertised?

Dan Szymborski

12:42

Hey, I was skeptical coming into the season

Oaktown Blues

12:43

JJ Bleday already at an incredible -8 DRS for the season (-5 OAA). Matches the eye test; he's been comically bad in CF. If you're the A's, do you just grin and bear it and hope his offense bounces back to 2024 levels? Do you accelerate Denzel Clarke's timeline?

Dan Szymborski

12:43

I don't think I could justify playing him in center hitting the way he is

Guest

12:43

Henry Davis seems like a AAAA player to me and may be best suited for Japan.

Dan Szymborski

12:44

true AAAA guys are pretty rare

Getting Jiggy Wit It

12:44

Even with all the walks, Cameron still looks more promising than Stratton

Dan Szymborski

12:44

Yeah, but I woudln't call that a great start

Lord Thunder

12:44

If you were the Pirates GM, would you call up Bubba Chandler now?

Dan Szymborski

12:45

Yes. audentes Fortuna iuvat

Guest

12:45

Hey! I'm looking at the "Dollars" statistic for how much they would make based on their WAR. A little interested to get a bit more detail on what that statistic actually is and how it's calculated

Dan Szymborski

12:45

It's basically just a linear estimation. I don't know what FG is using off the top of my head

PCA

12:45

At what point do I hit leadoff?

Dan Szymborski

12:46

When Counsell writes your name on the lineup card as such, silly!

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