Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 5/10/17
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Dan Szymborski
2:37
Well, cool off to the reshuffled projections.
I certainly don't expect something worse, that would be stupid.
If I thought Yonder Alonso's rest-of-season projection was WORSE than it was 6 weeks ago, one of you guys should beat me with a shovel.
Chris
2:38
Will Brandon Belt ever be more than "meh"?
Dan Szymborski
2:39
You're quite difficult to impress if a 126 career OPS+ and 3.7 bWAR/600, 3.5 fWAR/600 is meh.
Marky Mark
2:39
Morales may be on the DL soon. What do the Jays do? Are they screwed for the season at this point?
Dan Szymborski
2:39
They're screwed anyway.
2:40
Morales could come back from the DL as a deity and the Jays would still have a real issue.
CamdenWarehouse
2:40
If you were to put the curse of Cistulli on a team, what would that do to the team?
Dan Szymborski
2:40
scourged genitals
Devil Ray J. Johnson
2:40
The Aaron Judge novelty gavel is kind of like the Paul O'Neill novelty pacifier, right?
BK
2:42
Ronald Acuna: Andruw Jones?
Dan Szymborski
2:42
Let's not go too crazy!
2:43
AJ was a freak of a prospect
Not that Acuna's not a really excellent prospec tor antyhing
Tyler
2:43
Trevor Cahill...is the resurgence real?
Dan Szymborski
2:43
I'm cautiously optimistic. Batters are chasing his knuckle curve thing
2:44
He's tinkered with his curve a number of times. I thin khe changed up the grip last year, but I'm honestly not positive off-the-cuff.
v2micca
2:45
With his recent demotion back to AAA is it getting close to the time to declare Matt Wisler a bust?
Dan Szymborski
2:45
Certainly not looking great for Wisler. I don't like to declare any 24 yo pitcher a definite bust, but the shine is way off
I'm not claling him a bust yet, though.
CamdenWarehouse
2:45
So with the breakout of Judge, the Yankees may very well not be in the market for a RF after 2018 and they won't need Harper. Has Judge sealed Machado to the Yankees?
Dan Szymborski
2:45
NOT THINKING OF THAT
Marky Mark
2:46
In which SECOND universe does Ryan Goins have more home runs than Bautista?
Dan Szymborski
2:46
The weird one that we got to somehow in 2016
Porcho Villa
2:47
Do you expect Bedrosian to take the job back from Norris? Scioscia wasn't in any rush to give it to him in the first place at the start of the season.
Dan Szymborski
2:47
You want me to get into the mind of Scioscia?
Edward Van Halen
2:48
Which contender would be least hurt by the loss of their best player? Gotta be the Dodgers, right?
Dan Szymborski
2:48
If you count the Cardinals, I think them.
No team relies on just having a bunch of above-average players and without superstars as the Cards do
2:49
(Though C-Mart can become a superstar)
That the Dodgers didn't collapse when they lost Kershaw last year doens't mean they weren't super hurt by it or that they wouldn't in the future
Marte
2:49
Do you still maintain that anabolic steroids are not a performance enhancer?
Dan Szymborski
2:49
I've never said that, I'm very careful when I word things.
2:50
I maintain that at the professional *baseball* level, there is no evidence that a steroid suspension or documented steroid use has had any effect on future proejctions.
Players in that group have *no* tendency as a group to underperform after or overperform before. They have had *no* tendency to have unusual career curves as a group, either.
They have no tendency to develop unexpectedly as prospects or decline less.
2:51
In baseball at least, the direct impact of steroid use on performance is VERY scant.
Whether you look at major leaguers or all players busted.
Eric
2:53
Would you trade Rizzo for Conforto and Carrasco? Cant keep Rizzo but would keep Conforto late next two years.
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