JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 5/13/21

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Dan Szymborski

12:04

THE APPOINTED TIME FOR CHATS HAS ARRIVE

Jim Leyland Palmer

12:04

Who does ZiPS have as the most cromulent current player in the MLB?

Dan Szymborski

12:04

I dunno. Starlin Castro?

He's not good

12:05

Well, not REALLY good

but he's acceptable

Big_Klu

12:05

Help! I have a roto crush on Adolis... Is there any reason for pause?

Dan Szymborski

12:06

Not exactly the most scientific hitter. But ride the fun!

James

12:07

Why is Yordan not drawing any walks? He doesn't seem to be chasing more, strikeout rate isn't up at all.

Dan Szymborski

12:08

I'd have to look it up, but from what I've seen, he's being very aggressive on three ball counts

Tyler

12:12

Is there a team/teams that shift really well compared to others?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

For this year at least, it's been Red Sox and Cubs

Season Tm No Shift Shifts Difference 2021 BOS .331 .245 -.086 2021 CHC .304 .248 -.056 2021 KCR .311 .265 -.045 2021 TEX .306 .270 -.036 2021 LAA .305 .272 -.033 2021 TBR .312 .287 -.026 2021 COL .294 .271 -.023 2021 DET .315 .294 -.020 2021 CLE .266 .247 -.019 2021 ARI .302 .289 -.014 2021 PIT .272 .259 -.013 2021 SEA .277 .264 -.013 2021 SDP .285 .272 -.013 2021 CHW .301 .292 -.009 2021 BAL .282 .274 -.009 2021 OAK .292 .285 -.008 2021 MIL .253 .246 -.007 2021 PHI .295 .289 -.006 2021 HOU .271 .274 .003 2021 MIA .290 .295 .005 2021 ATL .310 .315 .006 2021 SFG .220 .238 .017 2021 NYM .275 .300 .025 2021 NYY .255 .281 .026 2021 LAD .245 .279 .034 2021 CIN .277 .320 .043 2021 MIN .231 .292 .061 2021 TOR .268 .337 .069 2021 WSN .219 .290 .070 2021 STL .198 .293 .095

OH GOD

12:13

That's pitching shift splits for 2021

BringBackDeSpanielHair

12:13

Has anyone done a study on changeup pitchers underperforming in cold weather? It's a feel pitch, right? More so than most, I'd almost expect changeup centric arms to start slower if they play further north.

Dan Szymborski

12:13

I haven't seen this specifically

Though if you're interested in something, find the answer! That's the basics of what sabermetrics is

Tyler

12:14

Was Randy Arozarena a 1 year wonder or is he going to turn it around?

Dan Szymborski

12:15

The shape has been different, but I'd note his wRC+ of 116 is right where projection systems thought it would be (The Bat 115, ZiPS 117, ATC 122, Steamer 120)

or near

BringBackDeSpanielHair

12:15

MLB.com has an article extolling the virtues of the runner on second. Everyone should take 30 seconds to go flame them in the comments section!

Dan Szymborski

12:15

Hey, don't be intentionally jerky. It's just work for an intern to moderate

Now, general snarkiness is fine

Pat

12:15

No questions here Dan, just wanted to let you know you're my favorite writer and I legitimately get happy when I see something new from you :)

Dan Szymborski

12:15

I PAID PAT

BringBackDeSpanielHair

12:16

"The chat will begin soon"... so ominous!

Dan Szymborski

12:16

Like all baseball writers, I desire to be feared as much as loved.

Tyler

12:16

Has there ever been a player that has consistently outperformed or underperformed your projections?

Dan Szymborski

12:16

Kevin Gryboski used to annoy me.

Sadly, issues of systemic bias are mostly weeded out at this point.

12:17

Which is too bad - if very specific players were outperforming or underperforming, it would provide useful data.

Puster Bosey

12:17

What’s the chance Jose Abreu gets into the HoF? Would prolly need voters to fully respect what he did in Cuba, or for him to pull a Nelson Cruz

Dan Szymborski

12:17

I think extremely low.

Ian

12:17

How do we know this is you and not the neural network taking your place?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

If it was text prediction, I would be funnier.

Tyler

12:18

How would you rank the Yankees, Rays, Red Sox, and Blue Jays in the stacked AL East?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

Swap the last two.

I'm skeptical about Boston's pitching keeping THIS up

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