JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 5/13/21

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Hmm

12:20

Meadows is killing me.

Dan Szymborski

12:20

I wouldn't go crazy yet given the BABIP

Guest

12:20

What are your thoughts on Andrew Vaughn so far?

Dan Szymborski

12:22

Solid discipline, better power than I expected from minor leagues, still a bit raw overall - he has one of the largest spreads between in and out-of-zone contact rate in the majors

12:23

Thankfully, he's not being sat randomly like he was the first couple of weeks

Sammy So-so

12:24

What do you make of Gleyber Torres' power outage over the past 75 games? The ball used to really jump off his bat and now not so much.

Dan Szymborski

12:24

It's hard to say. It' snot a mirage, his power numbers have been disappearing off the bat for real

12:27

Now, the root cause is a lot trickier.

12:28

His swing LOOKS slower and the fastball data looks a lot like a player a decade older in decline. But I don't know if that's the stats that I'm aware of leading to that view

And I don't have much to offer mechanically; it's not my area of expertise

Joe

12:29

If I were to worry about Adley Rutschman and his relatively slow minor league start (even going back to 2019) how much worry should I worry?

Dan Szymborski

12:29

He has like no minor league experience

I wouldn't worry

The lost year stunk

Pistol Pete

12:30

Will Nick Madrigal ever be more than a league average 2B?

Dan Szymborski

12:30

I still think so

Though I don't think he has superstar potential or anything; he's always going to have meh power

Babip

12:31

I saw you mentioned a Babip < .230 isn't predicitive of a good average to come. Why is that? Article please.

Dan Szymborski

12:31

Did I word it like that?

Low BABIP isn't predictive of future low BABIP at that low

Because ain't nobody really a worse BABIP hitter than an average pitcher

Billy Beane

12:31

Dan, I bought a keyboard and a custom keyboard set based on your recommendations and I don't know whether to blame or thank you so I blank you.

Dan Szymborski

12:32

Keyboard tinkering is kind of addictive. But do you enjoy the keyboard?

Marko from Tropoja

12:32

I read Jay’s Scherzer article which commented on the uptick in his three-year ZiPS projections based on his 2021 performance to date. Can you provide any similar commentary on Kershaw? Other than OD and the weird Cubs inning, he’s been stellar. Minimizing homers/low FIP and, most importantly, no injuries. Thanks as always.

Dan Szymborski

12:32

I haven't checked up on Kershaw's projections, but I might next week

selling jeans

12:32

Dan-- lowest BA ever, record strikeouts, highest ever HBP, longest games, including marathon 10th innings, defeating purpose of 2nd base rule, dwindling national interest. Are people in analytics community looking inward and wondering, for all their cutting edge skills, just how badly they have hurt the product and how these trends could be reversed?

Dan Szymborski

12:32

We don't make the rules. Our job is to analyze performance within the rules.

12:33

if a game is "solved" then change the game.

Sam

12:33

When Eloy comes back, what do you do with vaughn, yermín. Does Vaugh possibly have a future in RF?

Dan Szymborski

12:34

This might be blasphemy, but I think it's too soon to be making plans around Yermin. Worry about what happens if he's still hitting well in August.

Guest

12:34

Is it possible the Rangers Trade Gallo this year and would he bring back enough value to be worth trading?

Dan Szymborski

12:34

I think it's possible.

But I don't think he has a ton of value

misworded

12:34

last week I misworded my taxi squad question. Do you think the taxi squad benefits the development of a young, promising player (AKA Michael Chavis). Thanks

Dan Szymborski

12:34

I think overall it's neutral

Adam

12:35

Gavin Lux going to be okay?

Dan Szymborski

12:35

I wouldn't panic, but I'd be concerned.

Not Sandy Alderson

12:36

Since chili was invented in Texas, and "chili con carne" is a meat chili, would you agree that it's only logical that a standard chili is in fact a meatless chili?

Dan Szymborski

12:36

What is chili long predates the use of con carne

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