JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 5/16/24

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 5/16/24

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Dan Szymborski

12:35

I talked a bit about their conservatism on Twitter yesterday and why one of the team's strengths has become their weakness when shit hit the fan

Coma Guy

12:35

Hey Dan! I just woke

Mint Chocolate Chip

12:35

When you rank MLB managers, where does Brandon Hyde fall on your list?

Dan Szymborski

12:35

Pretty high

I don't usually rank managers

I think of them more in large buckets

M’s Fan

12:36

As Julio’s struggles continue, is there legitimate reason to be concerned?

Dan Szymborski

12:36

More concern than if it was just April, but patience is still a virture

40 games still is pretty small big picture

162 games is pretty small big picture

People vastly overrate the stability of ANY player

Judge

12:37

Provided he avoids any outfield walls, Judge should clear 5 WAR easily again, which would be 6 times. What's your number of 5 WAR years (chosen bc it's a round number) where you're like, okay, that's enough peak for me? (Ignoring that he has two years way above 5)

Dan Szymborski

12:37

I don't really have a concrete of strictly X years past Y threshold

Al

12:37

would love to see Oakland keep Miller but you kind of have to trade him right? Just don’t see how that arm doesn’t break eventually during control

Dan Szymborski

12:38

A's probably should since it's going to be years till the organization really tries

Justin

12:38

How do the zips in season projections work

Dan Szymborski

12:38

Simpler in season model so that it can be run every morning

Basically remixes the projection with new information

When I cquote "full fat" ZiPS, it's the full model

Coma Guy

12:38

Hey Dan! I just woke up from a 10 year coma and missed a lot of stuff. How has the understanding about a pitcher’s influence on BABIP changed in that time?

Dan Szymborski

12:39

Not significantly

Long term pitchers have an influence, but it's still relatively minor, especially after you factor out their defenses

V

12:39

Could PCA give us a 50 drs season?

Dan Szymborski

12:39

Ima gonna guess no

HappyFunBall

12:39

Do you have opinion on this Very Important Sandwich Related Topic: https://www.upi.com/Odd_News/2024/05/15/tacos-Mexican-style-sandwiches... ?

Dan Szymborski

12:40

impeach the judge

171

12:40

Do the spaghetti AI images typically get generated on fast days or non-fast days?

Dan Szymborski

12:40

Depends what I'm doing

12:41

if something is computationally intense and there's a lot of waiting between stuff, I do more AI nonsense

12:42

12:43

It's not like I have to babysit anything while it runs a prompt 50 times

David Rubensplash

12:43

How should the Orioles address their lack of outfield production?

Dan Szymborski

12:43

Stay the course. They have the talent in house

Sad Ceddy

12:43

How do the Orioles fix their CF problem with Mullins turning into his 2019 version again? His statcast is pretty grim.

Dan Szymborski

12:43

I suspect they wait on him

Yosef Gewurtz

12:43

Does FanGraphs offer internships?

Dan Szymborski

12:43

I don't believe we've offered one before

12:45

We're a small business, and I'm not sure we'd be ideal

And individual writers work fairly independently

and we're all online

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