JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 5/19/22

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Dan Szymborski

12:46

12:47

I knew which card to find as soon as I saw this question scroll! lol

M's Fan

12:47

Will the Mariners ever make the playoffs?

Dan Szymborski

12:47

Of course!

And I mean future, I'm not being tricksy and counting 2001 and the others

John

12:49

Is Marco Gonzales just one of those weird outliers? Meaning, will his ERA always be much lower than his FIP? You watch him and think there's no way he can actually get hitters out - and then at the end of the season - his ERA looks pretty, to really good.

Dan Szymborski

12:49

I wouldn't go THAT far

First, remembe rFIP isn't a park neutral stat

12:51

ZiPS has the difference after adjustments at about 0.2 runs

And thought he should outperform by 0.14 based on his history, team and park

and 698 innings isn't enough for a rather small difference to be THAT significant

Farhandrew Zaidman

12:52

The automated strike zone in AAA decided to extend the plate by one inch on each side because of…reasons?

Dan Szymborski

12:52

I believe because of the different ways that umpires and rulebooks treat strike zone edge

12:53

Right now, it's more about testing the consistency and practicality

not as much correcting umpires

John

12:53

Julio hits the ball hard but has a launch angle of like 5 or 6. Is it as simple as he just needs to elevate more and he'll add 200 points to his slugging?

Dan Szymborski

12:53

It's not quite THAT easy!

12:54

It's complicated.

You want to work on getting more loft, but if it was *easy* to do than everyone would

Morbo

12:56

Why am I always late to this chat?

Dan Szymborski

12:56

GET A CLOCK, HUYGENS

Rip Calkin

12:56

Is Elias too conservative with prospect promotions (or maybe just still tanking)? Other than maybe gaming Super 2 status, there's no good reason for Adley and GrayRod to be in AAA, right?

Dan Szymborski

12:56

In fairness, Adley was injured

Though I'd probably have calle dhim up already

12:57

And Grayson just debuted in AAA las tmonth

Steve O

12:57

Thoughts on the Orioles pushing back the LF fence? I think it's comical how their solution to giving up too many homers wasn't to improve their pitching staff.

Dan Szymborski

12:57

I think the idea was to be in a more neutral park

Mysterio

12:57

Re: McCutchen and Yelich. It was just so rapid. Cutch when from 6.0 to 1.2 (then back up to a dead-cat bounce of 3.8) age 28-30. Yelich from 7.3 to 0.7 age 27-28. Both seemed to have found a plateau as an OK player, but not the usual slow decline you see from most superstars.

Dan Szymborski

12:58

There's a wide assortment of decline types!

Tough Former Player

12:58

OH you think you’re so smart with your “analytics” and your “scare quotes.” How bout we let the guys play it out on the field. This isn’t fantasy baseball. You’ll see.

Dan Szymborski

12:58

I do appreciate that you got the period inside the quotation mark!

Morbo

12:59

Greg Minton is an 80 grade CPA name

Dan Szymborski

12:59

Paul Goldschmidt

Kinda like how we find names for other occupations

For example, Locke St. John is the best soap opera baseball player name since Blake Hawksworth.

Rip Calkin