JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 5/2/24

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Dan Szymborski

12:32

I think it is what it is at this point

Hal

12:32

What's the appropriate level of worry regarding Acuña right now? No one would be surprised if he goes scorched earth for the next five months -- but he's never looked this lost at the plate, even during the 2022 season following his knee repair.

Dan Szymborski

12:32

Given how good he is, unless he's nursing an injury, I'm not worried yet

Bighen

12:33

So should Alonso have been ruled safe? By the letter of the new silly plate blocking rule it seems as if it should have been illegal blocking. Also maybe don’t slide head first.

Dan Szymborski

12:34

I haven't really dissected every frame of the situation, but it looked like an illegal block to me

If you have a rule, enforce the rule. If you don't and it's dumb, repeal the rule. A game in which people are competing against each other ought to have bright lines

Guest

12:34

I know this is one of those "good problems" to have, but Baltimore genuinely does have some real decisions to make in terms of which players to keep around for the foreseeable future. Mayo, Holliday, Norby, Stowers, Kjerstad all have little left to prove, and there isn't an abundance of open spots in the starting 9. Who are you keeping?

Dan Szymborski

12:34

I'm writing a bit on this for tomorrow!

Timmy Buttz

12:35

Prime Dan Szymborski steps into the batters box for 2 ABs on a 1 day contract. Your 2 ABs against Imanaga and Jared jones (1 a piece). Who do you have the best chance of putting a ball in play against?

Dan Szymborski

12:35

Imanaga, but these are very low probaiblities

just to be clear

12:36

I was a slop throwing sidearmer as a pitcher in little league and as a teenager. I was never an amazing hitter, even on travel team.

12:37

but I would never have been able to catch up with something 90 mph on my best day so I think I'd luck into Imanaga contact first

Oaktown Blues

12:37

I've been frustrated with A's management routinely giving at bats to Tyler Nevin over Ruiz and Butler, but now he's got a 156 wRC+ so joke's on me! Do you think he'll settle in as an above average hitter or is this just a hot streak?

Dan Szymborski

12:37

I'm skeptical

SeadubbinLV

12:37

Somewhat new to daily monitoring of Fangraphs data this season. Left town for a few days and now notice that pitcher ROS WAR projections appear step-function down from last week (more than just games played progression). As a relative newby ... what am I missing? Thanks.

Dan Szymborski

12:38

I don't think we've had any changes that would lead to that!

I wish you had recorded them

We don't keep a daily record of the ROS WAR that's passed, as far as I can tell

Louise

12:38

If Imanaga reached Free Agency today would he get 100 million?

Dan Szymborski

12:38

Yes

I still think it was crayz he didn't already

12:38

Why do you think Vaughn and Torkelson have stagnated so much? Both so highly touted RHH 1Bs, both rushed to the majors, both part of orgs that don't seem to be the best at development. Or was the scouting wrong on both? I know it's just a few years in for both, but they are not looking good, just interesting that both have failed so far.

Dan Szymborski

12:38

Torkelson is the more confusing one especially since he seemed to get it together last year

Vaughn, his development was basically just skipped

Matt

12:39

What do the numbers say about Alek Manoah’s regression since his rookie year? Is there a career renaissance coming or was his All-Star season a flash in the pan?

Dan Szymborski

12:39

He was horrific last year, but he showed enough before that I think it's a mistake for counting him out completely

Guest

12:39

Who would you take long term, Bobby Witt Jr. or Elly De La Cruz?

Dan Szymborski

12:39

Still Witt and I love watch EDLC

gatewayredbirds

12:40

did meg give you a demerit for missing the chat?

Dan Szymborski

12:40

It's usually not minded if other things for FanGraphs are taking priority

It's not like I was playing Eiyuden or going out for brunch

Anon21

12:40

I kind of liked it better when it *was* April and there was a readymade explanation for all of the Braves' best hitters being unable to make contact with fastballs in the zone.

Rodon

12:40

His slider has been rebounding (lots of whiffs vs a good offense in MIL).

Dan Szymborski

12:40

I hope so

it didn't look all that sharp when I've seen him

12:41

But I didn't see his last two starts

Chop

12:41

How does Zips estimate pitcher wins? Regression based on some set of meaningful pitching stats? Or does it know about how good the offense is?